No question the NIT gets less attention – rightfully so –
however, for bettors it offers equal opportunity to earn profits if you follow
a few guidelines. With that in mind let’s
examine the NIT Field below.
Slightly different from the NCAA version this time we sorted
by ADJ RATINGS RANK, which is where each team ranked in the entire country
based on their statistical performance to date:
ADJ RATINGS
|
||||
Team
|
NIT Seed
|
Conf
|
RANK
|
|
Utah
|
5
|
P12
|
28
|
|
Illinois
|
2
|
B10
|
41
|
|
West Virginia
|
5
|
B12
|
44
|
|
Saint Mary's
|
4
|
WCC
|
48
|
|
Minnesota
|
1
|
B10
|
49
|
|
St. John's
|
1
|
BE
|
50
|
|
Arkansas
|
3
|
SEC
|
52
|
|
Georgetown
|
4
|
BE
|
60
|
|
Clemson
|
3
|
ACC
|
61
|
|
San Francisco
|
4
|
WCC
|
66
|
|
Louisiana Tech
|
3
|
CUSA
|
67
|
|
Florida State
|
1
|
ACC
|
69
|
|
California
|
2
|
P12
|
72
|
|
Green Bay
|
4
|
HORIZON
|
73
|
|
Southern Methodist
|
1
|
AAC
|
78
|
|
LSU
|
5
|
SEC
|
82
|
|
Missouri
|
2
|
SEC
|
91
|
|
Southern Mississippi
|
3
|
CUSA
|
92
|
|
Georgia
|
2
|
SEC
|
94
|
|
Indiana State
|
6
|
MVC
|
105
|
|
Toledo
|
6
|
MAC
|
114
|
|
Iona
|
6
|
MAAC
|
133
|
|
Vermont
|
7
|
AM EAST
|
148
|
|
Boston University
|
7
|
PATRIOT
|
154
|
|
UC Irvine
|
8
|
BIG WEST
|
162
|
|
Georgia State
|
6
|
SUN BELT
|
168
|
|
Davidson
|
7
|
SOCON
|
171
|
|
Belmont
|
5
|
OVC
|
188
|
|
Robert Morris
|
8
|
NEC
|
206
|
|
Utah Valley
|
7
|
WAC
|
218
|
|
Florida Gulf Coast
|
8
|
ASUN
|
288
|
|
High Point
|
8
|
BIG SOUTH
|
291
|
One CRITICAL aspect of wagering on the NIT is judging
emotional levels of teams involved.
Teams that had NCAA Tournament hopes before the season, or just as the
season winded down may not be as motivated especially compared to mid-major
type schools that feel like this is their chance to make a name for their
program.
Another interesting aspect of the NIT is the seeding, where
more well-known teams seem to get the benefit of the doubt as a higher seed
despite performing worse in the SBPI.
Remember, it’s OK to PASS on a given game, or even a
night. Forcing selections because you
are an action junkie will NOT help your account, and will put you behind the 8
ball in profiting. I typically prefer to
pass on the opening round of NIT action for the most part – watching the teams’
play, understanding who is committed to earning a trip to MSG in early April
versus forcing early plays when motivation between two schools may not be
equal. Also, take into account home
court advantage – at some schools it will NOT be the same as we see during the
regular season (Illinois for example), while others may have a greater impact
such as San Francisco hosting LSU tonight.
My recommendation is unless you can isolate situations where
you not only have the statistical edge but also the definite emotional edge
passing on the early round of all tournaments outside the NCAA.
Check back during the week for additional analysis on the
tournaments.
Thanks again for reading, please feel free to:
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