Monday, March 24, 2014

2014 NCAA Tournament – Sweet 16 Field Analysis



As we move into the Sweet 16 of this year’s NCAA Tournament here is an update showing each team that remains, along with their SBPI (SportsBoss Power Index) rating:





ADJ RATINGS
Team
NCAA Seed
REGION

RANK
Florida
1
SOUTH

1
Arizona
1
WEST

2
Virginia
1
EAST

12
Wisconsin
2
WEST

6
Michigan
2
MIDWEST

15
Iowa State
3
EAST

23
Louisville
4
MIDWEST

4
San Diego State
4
WEST

13
Michigan State
4
EAST

17
UCLA
4
SOUTH

22
Baylor
6
WEST

11
Connecticut
7
EAST

32
Kentucky
8
MIDWEST

14
Stanford
10
SOUTH

34
Tennessee
11
MIDWEST

3
Dayton
11
SOUTH

35

As we can see from the above matrix of the 16 teams left in the field 11 were ranked inside the Top 17 of the current SBPI – who has lost from the SBPI Top 17 already?

  • #5 Duke
  • #7 Pitt (lost to #1 Florida)
  • #8 Ohio State
  • #9 Villanova
  • #10 VCU
  • #16 Syracuse
There are three Cinderella stories remaining according to the SBPI and they are #32 UConn, #34 Stanford & #35 Dayton – meaning all Sweet 16 teams are ranked in the Top 35 of the SBPI.  Stanford will face Dayton with the winner advancing to face either Florida or UCLA – so of the two biggest longshots according to the SBPI still remaining in the field one of them will advance and play in the Elite 8.

Tennessee has been ranked inside our Top 10 all season long, and currently sit at #3 – so we are not surprised by their run thus far.  Many other power ranking services have recently caught on to how well the Vols are playing, but we have had them ranked highly since first publishing our SBPI in early February.  Baylor is another team that has ranked highly in our SBPI since initial publishing, and they have reached the Sweet 16 currently sitting at #11.

The West region appears to be the toughest right now as all 4 teams remaining are ranked inside the Top 13 of SBPI, while the South region has #1 Florida & three teams ranked #22 or worse.  The Midwest is just behind the West with all four teams inside the Top 15 of SBPI, while the East is on the weaker side similar to the South with the top ranked team #12 Virginia.

Check back during the week for additional analysis on the tournament.

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