Wednesday, April 13, 2016

NCAA BASKETBALL 2016: SBPI [SportsBoss Power Index] FINAL

Here is the FINAL Top 50 from my 2015-2016 College Basketball SBPI ratings (RS = returning starters; OFF RANK = SOS adjusted rank of performance offensively; DEF RANK = SOS adjusted rank of performance defensively; SUM is rating for team & can be compared to prior season’s in my Top 100 of last 13 year’s blog entry; RANK = ranking of each team’s SOS Adjusted performance; KP = Ken Pomeroy; BPI = ESPN’s index; RPI = Ratings Percentage Index; SAG = Jeff Sagarin’s ratings):

ADJ RATINGS

Team
RS
OFF RANK
DEF RANK
SUM
RANK
KP
BPI
RPI
SAG
West Virginia
3
6
2
437.8
1
9
7
12
9
Villanova
3
17
3
394.8
2
1
3
4
1
Baylor
3
4
13
384.6
3
28
32
25
24
Xavier
3
3
24
379.7
4
11
14
8
13
Kansas
4
7
14
379.0
5
4
5
1
2
Virginia
3
70
1
376.1
6
3
2
3
4
Louisville
1
30
5
376.0
7
10
8
17
7
North Carolina
4
2
33
373.4
8
2
1
5
3
Texas A&M
3
12
8
371.5
9
19
17
18
18
Miami (FL)
4
14
7
371.5
10
13
15
8
14
Oregon
3
8
19
368.1
11
12
16
2
12
Duke
1
1
89
363.2
12
20
11
19
15
Pittsburgh
4
13
17
361.0
13
43
43
51
37
Purdue
4
19
11
354.9
14
14
12
15
11
Wisconsin
2
61
4
351.7
15
33
36
41
34
Providence
2
32
10
346.7
16
44
47
38
43
Florida
3
11
41
344.9
17
41
34
52
36
Michigan State
2
23
18
343.2
18
5
4
11
5
Georgia Tech
3
22
25
342.0
19
49
48
67
48
Butler
3
10
49
341.1
20
32
35
54
26
Kentucky
0
5
86
340.6
21
6
10
10
8
Wichita State
3
72
6
339.8
22
8
25
49
20
Oklahoma
4
15
44
336.1
23
7
6
6
6
Seton Hall
2
33
26
333.6
24
22
28
22
29
Arizona
1
24
30
332.2
25
21
13
26
16
Kansas State
1
48
15
327.2
26
54
53
84
53
VCU
3
54
9
326.6
27
30
29
37
39
Cincinnati
5
43
20
326.3
28
34
27
45
35
Texas
4
29
36
325.0
29
36
37
27
33
California
3
37
31
324.3
30
29
21
16
30
Syracuse
4
38
32
323.8
31
24
39
68
31
Iowa
4
21
59
319.1
32
23
22
28
23
Utah
4
41
43
317.5
33
39
30
9
28
Indiana
4
36
48
317.5
34
15
19
24
10
Notre Dame
3
20
71
315.5
35
35
33
32
32
North Carolina State
3
9
124
315.0
36
74
77
114
73
Florida State
5
18
77
314.2
37
50
51
78
49
Vanderbilt
4
39
54
311.2
38
31
24
60
27
Colorado
3
28
63
310.9
39
63
45
34
54
Maryland
2
55
29
308.8
40
25
20
14
21
Southern Methodist
3
52
39
303.3
41
17
9
13
19
Gonzaga
2
59
37
301.0
42
18
23
46
17
Creighton
1
40
83
298.4
43
37
49
103
44
Arizona State
4
26
95
298.3
44
104
83
98
84
George Washington
3
45
61
296.8
45
47
60
65
47
South Carolina
4
44
64
295.9
46
61
38
57
58
Michigan
4
83
22
293.7
47
58
57
58
40
Iowa State
4
46
70
290.8
48
16
18
23
22
Georgetown
2
66
51
290.2
49
60
63
105
63
Clemson
3
92
23
289.6
50
48
50
125
57

West Virginia held the #1 spot all season, to the surprise of myself and I am sure everyone reading this.  Their final SBPI rating of 437.8 as the 9th best team of the last 16 seasons (as far back as the SBPI goes), which is obviously incredible and stands out as a lone wolf of sorts.  What else is interesting is the Mountaineers were the only team in the 2015-2016 season to register a rating of 400.0 or above – how odd is that?  Here is a chart showing number of teams that finished at that minimum rating in each season:

2003
3
2004
2
2005
3
2006
1
2007
2
2008
4
2009
4
2010
4
2011
3
2012
1
2013
2
2014
3
2015
5
2016
1

So it is not unprecedented but it’s just the third time in sixteen seasons we saw only one team reach 400.0.  Last year we had a record FIVE teams hit the 400.0 rating including the National Champion Duke Blue Devils, who finished last year at a rating of 425.8, which was tops in the country.
This year’s National Champion Villanova finished the year ranked 2nd in SBPI with a rating of 394.8, which would slot them as the 42nd best team over the last 16 seasons according to SBPI.  In addition this was the 4th best Villanova team over the same time period, trailing:
  • 2006 team (448.4 rating, #1 that season, #6 overall)
  • 2005 team (410.8 rating, #2 that season, #25 overall)
  • 2015 team (408.4 rating, #5 that season, #29 overall)

Conference strength & # of teams inside Top 50:

RANK
CONFERENCE
AVG RATING
TOP 50
1
B12
324.7
7
2
ACC
322.9
12
3
BIG EAST
301.3
6
4
P12
294.3
7
5
B10
279.3
7
6
SEC
273.5
5
7
AAC
244.4
2
8
A10
232.9
2
9
COLONIAL
232.6
10
HORIZON
224.0
11
MWC
221.9
1
12
MVC
216.2
1
13
WCC
206.6
14
BIG WEST
206.1
15
SUMMIT
203.5
16
MAC
199.6
17
SB
197.2
18
IVY
195.1
19
SOUTHERN
182.1
20
CUSA
167.5
21
OVC
167.1
22
BIG SOUTH
160.3
23
MAAC
157.1
24
WAC
150.5
25
BIG SKY
145.5
26
AMER EAST
144.0
27
SOUTHLAND
143.9
28
PATRIOT
139.5
29
ATL SUN
135.4
30
SWAC
119.0
31
NORTHEAST
111.2
32
MEAC
109.7

Next up let’s look at all non-Power 6 conference teams (ACC, BE, B10, B12, P12, SEC) that finished the season ranked inside the SBPI Top 100 (37 in total):

ADJ RATINGS
Team
RS
Conf
OFF RANK
DEF RANK
SUM
RANK
Wichita State
3
MVC
72
6
339.8
22
VCU
3
A10
54
9
326.6
27
Cincinnati
5
AAC
43
20
326.3
28
Southern Methodist
3
AAC
52
39
303.3
41
Gonzaga
2
WCC
59
37
301.0
42
George Washington
3
A10
45
61
296.8
45
Connecticut
4
AAC
88
27
285.8
53
Boise State
5
MWC
73
50
285.0
55
Valparaiso
5
HORIZON
80
42
284.4
56
San Diego State
4
MWC
113
16
283.7
58
Tulsa
5
AAC
69
58
283.5
59
Saint Joseph's
4
A10
60
69
283.3
60
Yale
2
IVY
85
46
278.7
63
North Carolina-Wilmington
2
COLONIAL
64
76
277.4
64
Long Beach State
0
BIG WEST
50
107
273.8
66
Dayton
4
A10
103
34
272.5
67
Northern Iowa
2
MVC
128
21
271.7
68
Rhode Island
4
A10
122
28
268.9
71
Brigham Young
3
WCC
63
115
262.5
73
Temple
2
AAC
123
38
262.3
74
Hofstra
4
COLONIAL
47
147
261.2
75
Fresno State
4
MWC
82
90
256.6
80
South Dakota State
4
SUMMIT
81
101
255.2
81
Memphis
4
AAC
79
111
253.6
83
Morehead State
1
OVC
104
72
252.1
84
Princeton
5
IVY
108
79
248.4
86
Charleston
3
COLONIAL
247
12
246.3
88
William & Mary
4
COLONIAL
86
119
244.9
89
Davidson
4
A10
51
195
244.7
90
Louisiana-Lafayette
5
SB
68
165
244.3
91
Arkansas-Little Rock
2
SB
175
35
243.9
92
Stephen F. Austin
4
SOUTHLAND
139
62
243.5
93
UNLV
2
MWC
93
114
242.2
95
Northeastern
4
COLONIAL
114
96
239.8
96
Green Bay
2
HORIZON
65
201
236.8
98
Texas-Arlington
2
SB
106
116
234.6
99
George Mason
3
A10
126
97
233.5
100

Here is a matrix of where each team ranked inside the Final Top 20 of the SBPI checked in during the season:

Team
25-Jan
1-Feb
9-Feb
15-Feb
26-Feb
2-Mar
14-Mar
After Rd1
After Rd2
After S16
After E8
FINAL
West Virginia
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
Villanova
4
8
4
3
5
5
7
9
10
10
3
2
Baylor
9
7
3
4
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
3
Xavier
3
5
10
8
6
7
10
10
6
6
6
4
Kansas
2
3
5
2
2
3
3
6
4
4
4
5
Virginia
18
12
12
13
13
13
5
7
8
8
7
6
Louisville
31
18
14
12
7
6
6
4
3
3
5
7
North Carolina
14
15
13
17
18
18
12
14
12
12
11
8
Texas A&M
6
2
2
9
10
8
8
3
5
5
8
9
Miami (FL)
12
10
9
7
9
10
9
8
7
7
9
10
Oregon
8
4
7
6
8
9
4
5
9
9
10
11
Duke
15
11
8
5
4
4
11
11
11
11
12
12
Pittsburgh
35
29
28
18
15
14
14
15
13
13
13
13
Purdue
11
13
15
15
14
12
13
12
14
14
14
14
Wisconsin
16
16
21
16
11
11
16
16
16
16
15
15
Providence
28
21
22
25
22
28
25
24
22
22
19
16
Florida
7
6
6
10
16
16
17
13
15
15
16
17
Michigan State
10
14
16
14
17
17
15
17
18
18
17
18
Georgia Tech
29
19
24
30
26
26
24
20
19
19
21
19
Butler
33
42
41
29
28
27
29
25
24
24
23
20

Here is a table that shows how on a weekly basis the SBPI tied to each team’s final ranking:

25-Jan
1-Feb
9-Feb
15-Feb
26-Feb
2-Mar
14-Mar
After Rd1
After Rd2
After S16
After E8
FINAL
All Teams
94.4%
96.5%
97.9%
98.5%
99.2%
99.3%
99.7%
99.9%
99.9%
99.9%
100.0%
100.0%
Final T20
55.3%
61.6%
70.9%
76.3%
81.7%
79.6%
86.1%
81.0%
88.1%
88.1%
97.1%
100.0%

For those interested here are the BOTTOM 25 teams:

ADJ RATINGS
Team
RS
Conf
OFF RANK
DEF RANK
SUM
RANK
Maine
4
AMER EAST
311
316
112.6
327
Binghamton
5
AMER EAST
345
198
110.9
328
UMass Lowell
2
AMER EAST
306
336
109.3
329
Hartford
1
AMER EAST
286
344
109.2
330
Seattle
2
WAC
341
230
109.2
331
Alabama A&M
5
SWAC
316
314
109.2
332
Sacred Heart
3
NORTHEAST
284
347
108.7
333
North Carolina Central
1
MEAC
323
301
108.0
334
Lafayette
2
PATRIOT
296
346
105.1
335
Nicholls State
5
SOUTHLAND
330
304
103.3
336
Texas-RGV
2
WAC
320
330
102.2
337
Long Island
2
NORTHEAST
308
343
101.7
338
Robert Morris
4
NORTHEAST
344
255
101.2
339
Savannah State
2
MEAC
348
209
100.9
340
Alcorn State
4
SWAC
327
327
98.1
341
Southeastern Louisiana
2
SOUTHLAND
325
335
98.0
342
Howard
4
MEAC
324
342
93.8
343
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
3
SWAC
351
207
93.5
344
Mississippi Valley State
1
SWAC
335
329
92.7
345
Grambling State
4
SWAC
346
248
92.2
346
North Carolina A&T
5
MEAC
329
345
87.9
347
Bryant
3
NORTHEAST
337
339
86.6
348
Central Connecticut State
3
NORTHEAST
342
332
80.1
349
Delaware State
1
MEAC
340
337
79.7
350
Florida A&M
2
MEAC
350
310
71.8
351



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