Tuesday, December 1, 2015

NCAA FOOTBALL 2015: Week THIRTEEN Review According to SBPI [SportsBoss Power Index]

Here is the seventh CFB SBPI installment of the 2015 season.  To read more about how I calculate my ratings look back at this entry that also has links to other entries surrounding this topic.

Without further ado here are the Top 25 rankings through action on Saturday November 28.  The columns OFF/DEF/TOTAL represent where each team statistically ranks across 128 teams in the FBS; we also included ESPN’s FPI & Sagarin’s rankings which can be used as a solid comparison tool followed by each team’s SOS adjusted RATING and RANK:

RECORD
UNIT RANKS RAW
RANKS
SOS ADJ #'s
WINS
LOSS
Team
OFF
DEF
TOTAL
FPI
SAG
RATING
RANK
11
1
Alabama
36
2
3
2
1
282.6
1
12
0
Clemson
15
6
1
6
4
277.4
2
11
1
Oklahoma
1
21
4
1
2
272.7
3
11
1
Ohio State
34
9
6
3
3
243.9
4
10
2
TCU
9
47
12
7
7
240.4
5
12
0
Iowa
27
13
9
26
14
238.4
6
10
2
Stanford
13
51
18
11
8
237.7
7
11
1
Michigan State
25
28
15
14
11
230.3
8
9
3
Mississippi
18
48
23
5
9
229.8
9
10
2
Florida State
29
24
17

10
6

228.1
10
9
3
Michigan
68
8
19
19
15
227.4
11
7
5
Arkansas
2
84
34
16
21
225.7
12
8
3
LSU
45
42
35
13
18
224.4
13
10
2
Notre Dame
19
51
30
9
10
224.0
14
8
4
USC
16
67
38
8
12
223.1
15
10
2
Florida
81
5
23
23
20
222.8
16
8
4
Pittsburgh
40
35
31
37
34
221.9
17
11
1
North Carolina
7
51
15
15
13
220.4
18
9
2
Baylor
4
60
21
4
5
220.4
19
8
4
Tennessee
38
38
31
12
16
218.8
20
8
4
South Florida
28
21
13
56
52
218.3
21
9
3
Georgia
64
11
25
18
24
217.1
22
6
6
Washington
76
15
39
30
26
216.0
23
9
3
Utah
55
30
39
29
25
214.7
24
9
3
Memphis
4
63
22

42
38

211.0
25

Currently there is 87% correlation between SBPI ranking & wins & that correlation has increased each week of the season.

Up next here is where each of the current Top 25 checked in over the last SEVEN weeks:

Team
WK7
WK8
WK9
WK10
WK11
WK12
WK13
Alabama
1
2
2
2
2
1
1
Clemson
3
1
1
1
1
2
2
Oklahoma
7
4
5
4
3
3
3
Ohio State
19
12
10
9
7
7
4
TCU
11
11
6
8
9
9
5
Iowa
2
3
3
6
6
6
6
Stanford
5
5
7
3
4
5
7
Michigan State
21
29
25
29
22
11
8
Mississippi
33
19
13
24
21
17
9
Florida State
14
23
16
25
15
14
10
Michigan
18
21
20
14
10
4
11
Arkansas
15
16
15
16
11
13
12
LSU
6
6
8
10
13
18
13
Notre Dame
10
7
9
5
8
8
14
USC
20
13
14
13
12
20
15
Florida
8
8
4
7
5
12
16
Pittsburgh
17
14
21
27
19
10
17
North Carolina
39
35
30
28
20
19
18
Baylor
27
33
36
33
31
22
19
Tennessee
25
25
18
20
25
16
20
South Florida
44
55
60
57
40
28
21
Georgia
9
10
28
19
18
25
22
Washington
43
56
39
40
47
29
23
Utah
4
9
11
12
14
15
24
Memphis
34
32
37
43
32
41
25

Breakdown of Top 25 by conference:

AAC
2
ACC
4
B10
4
B12
3
CUSA
0
IND
1
MAC
0
MWC
0
P12
4
SEC
7
SUN
0

Here are additional teams of note that did not make the SBPI Top 25 but were ranked inside the Top 25 of at least one of the other two power rating sources I use for comparative purposes:

#28 Wisconsin (#23 SAG)
#30 West Virginia (#20 FPI, #22 SAG)
#34 Mississippi State (#22 FPI)
#37 UCLA (#21 FPI)
#39 Texas A&M (#24 FPI)
#40 Oklahoma State (#17 FPI, #17 SAG)
#51 Oregon (#25 FPI, #19 SAG)

Strength of each conference taking average RATING of ALL TEAMS:

SEC
79.91
ACC
78.54
IND
77.90
B10
77.69
P12
77.64
B12
76.03
AAC
72.24
MWC
70.17
MAC
69.91
CUSA
66.38
SUN
65.32

Next up let’s look at the Top 10 non-Power 5 conference teams (excluding Notre Dame):

RECORD
UNIT RANKS RAW
RANKS
SOS ADJ #'s
WINS
LOSS
CONF
Team
OFF
DEF
TOTAL
SAG
RATING
RANK
8
4
AAC
South Florida
28
21
13
52
218.3
21
9
3
AAC
Memphis
4
63
22

38

211.0
25
11
1
AAC
Houston
9
32
7
29
209.9
26
8
4
MWC
Boise State
34
12
10
50
209.9
27
9
3
IND
BYU
56
16
28
36
206.2
31
10
2
AAC
Temple
57
7
14
41
205.8
32
9
2
SB
Appalachian State
2
14
2
59
202.5
33
8
4
MWC
Air Force
26
16
11
72
200.8
35
9
3
MWC
San Diego State
51
4
7
54
198.8
38
9
3
MAC
Bowling Green
11
66
28
45
192.9
43

Here are the Bottom 10 teams:

RECORD
UNIT RANKS RAW
RANKS
SOS ADJ #'s
WINS
LOSS
CONF
Team
OFF
DEF
TOTAL
SAG
RATING
RANK
1
11
MAC
Eastern Michigan
95
117
117
127
82.6
119
3
9
MWC
Fresno State
116
105
122
102
81.5
120
3
8
SB
Texas State
74
128
116
117
79.6
121
2
10
CUSA
Charlotte
120
89
118
128
78.4
122
2
10
P12
Oregon State
115
123
124
97
75.0
123
1
11
SB
Louisiana-Monroe
124
105
123
125
65.6
124
1
11
CUSA
North Texas
113
127
125
126
61.0
125
3
10
MWC
Hawai'i
127
112
126
122
56.9
126
0
12
B12
Kansas
125
122
127
113
54.0
127
0
12
AAC
UCF
128
126
128
124
32.7
128

Lastly here are the Bottom 5 Power 5 conference teams:

RECORD
UNIT RANKS RAW
RANKS
SOS ADJ #'s
WINS
LOSS
CONF
Team
OFF
DEF
TOTAL
SAG
RATING
RANK
3
9
ACC
Wake Forest
120
60
105
88
121.2
96
5
6
B12
Kansas State
98
105
108
55
116.5
98
2
10
B10
Purdue
113
110
119
94
98.6
109
2
10
P12
Oregon State
115
123
124
97
75.0
123
0
12
B12
Kansas
125
122
127
113
54.0
127



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