Tuesday, November 10, 2015

NCAA FOOTBALL 2015: Week TEN Review According to SBPI [SportsBoss Power Index]

Here is the fifth CFB SBPI installment of the 2015 season.  To read more about how I calculate my ratings look back at this entry that also has links to other entries surrounding this topic.

Without further ado here are the Top 25 rankings through action on Saturday November 7.  The columns OFF/DEF/TOTAL represent where each team statistically ranks across 128 teams in the FBS; we also included ESPN’s FPI & Sagarin’s rankings which can be used as a solid comparison tool followed by each team’s SOS adjusted RATING and RANK:

RECORD
UNIT RANKS RAW
RANKS
SOS ADJ #'s
WINS
LOSS
Team
OFF
DEF
TOTAL
FPI
SAG
RATING
RANK
9
0
Clemson
10
7
1
6
2
292.5
1
8
1
Alabama
48
2
7
4
1
276.6
2
8
1
Stanford
13
26
10
11
8
257.8
3
8
1
Oklahoma
7
20
4
1
3
253.7
4
8
1
Notre Dame
10
44
14
9
7
251.7
5
9
0
Iowa
32
8
6
29
16
250.6
6
8
1
Florida
62
6
13
14
12
243.8
7
8
1
TCU
2
52
12
3
6
239.7
8
9
0
Ohio State
28
10
7
5
5
237.9
9
7
1
LSU
19
41
23

8
11

237.7
10
7
2
Boise State
25
4
3
25
26
235.5
11
8
1
Utah
43
27
27
22
14
231.6
12
6
3
USC
17
60
36
7
10
229.3
13
7
2
Michigan
82
3
17
16
13
227.2
14
7
2
Mississippi State
22
34
17
15
17
225.7
15
5
4
Arkansas
2
85
40
26
32
224.4
16
7
2
BYU
45
23
23
46
37
222.0
17
9
0
Oklahoma State
28
29
20
13
9
221.0
18
6
3
Georgia
69
11
26
20
25
219.0
19
5
4
Tennessee
35
57
46
12
18
218.4
20
9
0
Houston
5
19
2
35
24
218.1
21
5
4
Louisville
85
14
37
38
35
217.3
22
8
2
Wisconsin
69
4
14
24
20
216.8
23
7
3
Mississippi
23
51
35
10
15
216.6
24
7
2
Florida State
33
38
29

18
19

214.6
25

Currently there is 83% correlation between SBPI ranking & wins & that correlation has increased each week


Breakdown of Top 25 by conference:

AAC
1
ACC
3
B10
4
B12
3
CUSA
0
IND
2
MAC
0
MWC
1
P12
3
SEC
8
SUN
0

Here are additional teams of note that did not make the SBPI Top 25 but were ranked inside the Top 25 of at least one of the other two power rating sources I use for comparative purposes:
#28 North Carolina (#19 FPI, #21 SAG)
#29 Michigan State (#21 FPI, #22 SAG)
#30 UCLA (#17 FPI, #23 SAG)
#33 Baylor (#2 FPI, #4 SAG)
#55 Texas A&M (#23 FPI)

Here are the five lowest rated SBPI teams that have a winning record:
#105 New Mexico (faced 122nd toughest schedule)
#92 Tulsa (faced 93rd toughest schedule)
#90 Nevada (faced 120th toughest schedule)
#89 Georgia Southern (faced 116th toughest schedule)
#85 Buffalo (faced 113th toughest schedule)

Strength of each conference taking average RATING of ALL TEAMS:
SEC
80.51
IND
80.48
ACC
79.11
P12
78.33
B10
77.72
B12
76.21
AAC
72.02
MWC
71.04
MAC
69.98
CUSA
66.62
SUN
64.90

Next up let’s look at the Top 10 non-Power 5 conference teams (excluding Notre Dame):

RECORD
UNIT RANKS RAW
RANKS
SOS ADJ #'s
WINS
LOSS
CONF
Team
OFF
DEF
TOTAL
SAG
RATING
RANK
7
2
MWC
Boise State
25
4
3
26
235.5
11
7
2
IND
BYU
45
23
23
37
222.0
17
9
0
AAC
Houston
5
19
2
24
218.1
21
8
1
AAC
Temple
51
9
11
39
204.5
32
5
4
AAC
Cincinnati
17
54
32
56
200.8
34
5
4
MWC
Utah State
72
16
34
59
200.0
36
6
3
MWC
Air Force
30
11
9
70
198.3
38
7
2
SB
Appalachian State
9
23
5
65
195.6
39
6
3
MWC
San Diego State
62
13
23
60
192.2
42
8
1
AAC
Memphis
6
85
41
38
191.7
43

Here are the Bottom 10 teams:

RECORD
UNIT RANKS RAW
RANKS
SOS ADJ #'s
WINS
LOSS
CONF
Team
OFF
DEF
TOTAL
SAG
RATING
RANK
2
7
CUSA
Charlotte
117
83
113
128
85.2
119
4
5
CUSA
Old Dominion
101
110
116
122
84.1
120
2
8
MAC
Miami (Ohio)
122
95
120
123
82.2
121
2
6
SB
Texas State
85
128
119
116
79.9
122
1
8
SB
Louisiana-Monroe
120
114
123
119
69.1
123
2
7
MWC
Fresno State
124
117
125
109
66.3
124
1
8
CUSA
North Texas
109
127
124
126
64.9
125
0
9
B12
Kansas
120
125
127
115
63.2
126
2
8
MWC
Hawai'i
128
99
126
113
60.2
127
0
10
AAC
UCF
127
121
128
114
43.5
128

Lastly here are the Bottom 5 Power 5 conference teams:

RECORD
UNIT RANKS RAW
RANKS
SOS ADJ #'s
WINS
LOSS
CONF
Team
OFF
DEF
TOTAL
SAG
RATING
RANK
3
6
ACC
Virginia
98
108
111
71
121.8
98
3
6
ACC
Wake Forest
122
62
105
88
116.2
102
2
7
B10
Purdue
115
101
118
94
99.3
109
2
7
P12
Oregon State
117
106
121
92
94.0
113
0
9
B12
Kansas
120
125
127
115
63.2
126



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COPYRIGHT: THE SPORTSBOSS, 2015

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