After nearly 2 full calendar years of work, tweaking and
adjusting I am finally ready to publish my initial SportsBoss Power Index
(SBPI) of all 351 teams in college basketball!
It has taken a ton of work, many adjustments and tweaks, but I feel
comfortable with the numbers, and have finally mathematically found a way to
minimize the number of “outliers” where publishing these figures makes
sense.
Without further ado here are the numbers for the Top 100
teams:
|
NON-ADJ RATINGS
|
ADJ RATINGS
|
|||||||||
|
Team
|
Conf
|
OFF
|
DEF
|
SUM
|
RANK
|
SOS
|
SUM
|
RANK
|
||
|
Arizona
|
P12
|
150
|
149
|
299
|
6
|
0.372
|
410.3
|
1
|
||
|
Florida
|
SEC
|
142
|
158
|
300
|
5
|
0.324
|
397.1
|
2
|
||
|
Villanova
|
BE
|
166
|
113
|
279
|
12
|
0.398
|
389.9
|
3
|
||
|
Duke
|
ACC
|
166
|
109
|
275
|
17
|
0.403
|
385.9
|
4
|
||
|
Wisconsin
|
B10
|
126
|
130
|
256
|
24
|
0.456
|
372.8
|
5
|
||
|
Ohio State
|
B10
|
114
|
165
|
279
|
12
|
0.325
|
369.5
|
6
|
||
|
Tennessee
|
SEC
|
148
|
129
|
277
|
14
|
0.318
|
365.2
|
7
|
||
|
Virginia
|
ACC
|
112
|
157
|
269
|
18
|
0.348
|
362.7
|
8
|
||
|
Michigan
|
B10
|
129
|
120
|
249
|
35
|
0.438
|
358.1
|
9
|
||
|
Syracuse
|
ACC
|
129
|
137
|
266
|
20
|
0.344
|
357.5
|
10
|
||
|
VCU
|
A10
|
148
|
133
|
281
|
11
|
0.267
|
356.1
|
11
|
||
|
Pittsburgh
|
ACC
|
144
|
133
|
277
|
14
|
0.282
|
355.0
|
12
|
||
|
Kansas
|
B12
|
143
|
84
|
227
|
87
|
0.540
|
349.7
|
13
|
||
|
San Diego State
|
MWC
|
144
|
161
|
305
|
2
|
0.142
|
348.2
|
14
|
||
|
Michigan State
|
B10
|
139
|
111
|
250
|
34
|
0.382
|
345.4
|
15
|
||
|
Baylor
|
B12
|
162
|
84
|
246
|
45
|
0.396
|
343.5
|
16
|
||
|
Louisville
|
AAC
|
175
|
136
|
311
|
1
|
0.095
|
340.5
|
17
|
||
|
Iowa
|
B10
|
170
|
93
|
263
|
22
|
0.294
|
340.3
|
18
|
||
|
Cincinnati
|
AAC
|
131
|
161
|
292
|
9
|
0.157
|
337.7
|
19
|
||
|
Providence
|
BE
|
142
|
102
|
244
|
48
|
0.371
|
334.6
|
20
|
||
|
North Carolina
|
ACC
|
153
|
96
|
249
|
35
|
0.341
|
334.0
|
21
|
||
|
Creighton
|
BE
|
135
|
105
|
240
|
55
|
0.359
|
326.2
|
22
|
||
|
UCLA
|
P12
|
149
|
105
|
254
|
26
|
0.280
|
325.1
|
23
|
||
|
Maryland
|
ACC
|
127
|
101
|
228
|
83
|
0.424
|
324.6
|
24
|
||
|
Iowa State
|
B12
|
149
|
78
|
227
|
87
|
0.404
|
318.7
|
25
|
||
|
Oklahoma
|
B12
|
165
|
61
|
226
|
92
|
0.410
|
318.6
|
26
|
||
|
Kentucky
|
SEC
|
150
|
89
|
239
|
60
|
0.331
|
318.1
|
27
|
||
|
Oklahoma State
|
B12
|
150
|
92
|
242
|
50
|
0.313
|
317.7
|
28
|
||
|
Marquette
|
BE
|
131
|
104
|
235
|
67
|
0.344
|
315.9
|
29
|
||
|
Wichita State
|
MVC
|
149
|
146
|
295
|
7
|
0.059
|
312.4
|
30
|
||
|
Connecticut
|
AAC
|
135
|
113
|
248
|
41
|
0.252
|
310.5
|
31
|
||
|
Butler
|
BE
|
112
|
110
|
222
|
109
|
0.392
|
309.0
|
32
|
||
|
Oregon
|
P12
|
159
|
81
|
240
|
55
|
0.286
|
308.7
|
33
|
||
|
Massachusetts
|
A10
|
139
|
89
|
228
|
83
|
0.354
|
308.6
|
34
|
||
|
George Washington
|
A10
|
136
|
116
|
252
|
29
|
0.221
|
307.8
|
35
|
||
|
Stanford
|
P12
|
129
|
90
|
219
|
122
|
0.405
|
307.7
|
36
|
||
|
Minnesota
|
B10
|
126
|
92
|
218
|
127
|
0.411
|
307.5
|
37
|
||
|
Texas
|
B12
|
149
|
73
|
222
|
109
|
0.385
|
307.4
|
38
|
||
|
Utah
|
P12
|
135
|
133
|
268
|
19
|
0.145
|
306.8
|
39
|
||
|
Colorado
|
P12
|
120
|
104
|
224
|
100
|
0.350
|
302.5
|
40
|
||
|
Saint Louis
|
A10
|
107
|
147
|
254
|
26
|
0.189
|
302.0
|
41
|
||
|
Illinois
|
B10
|
95
|
131
|
226
|
92
|
0.334
|
301.4
|
42
|
||
|
Memphis
|
AAC
|
144
|
99
|
243
|
49
|
0.238
|
300.9
|
43
|
||
|
Xavier
|
BE
|
127
|
96
|
223
|
104
|
0.348
|
300.7
|
44
|
||
|
Arizona State
|
P12
|
129
|
100
|
229
|
78
|
0.312
|
300.4
|
45
|
||
|
St. John's
|
BE
|
122
|
108
|
230
|
76
|
0.302
|
299.6
|
46
|
||
|
Boise State
|
MWC
|
150
|
95
|
245
|
46
|
0.219
|
298.7
|
47
|
||
|
Dayton
|
A10
|
144
|
107
|
251
|
33
|
0.188
|
298.3
|
48
|
||
|
Kansas State
|
B12
|
124
|
103
|
227
|
87
|
0.303
|
295.9
|
49
|
||
|
Brigham Young
|
WCC
|
164
|
64
|
228
|
83
|
0.294
|
295.1
|
50
|
||
|
Arkansas
|
SEC
|
159
|
90
|
249
|
35
|
0.184
|
294.8
|
51
|
||
|
Saint Mary's
|
WCC
|
141
|
113
|
254
|
26
|
0.156
|
293.5
|
52
|
||
|
Georgetown
|
BE
|
115
|
93
|
208
|
152
|
0.399
|
291.0
|
53
|
||
|
West Virginia
|
B12
|
159
|
64
|
223
|
104
|
0.304
|
290.8
|
54
|
||
|
Gonzaga
|
WCC
|
139
|
103
|
242
|
50
|
0.178
|
285.0
|
55
|
||
|
Indiana
|
B10
|
114
|
114
|
228
|
83
|
0.249
|
284.9
|
56
|
||
|
New Mexico
|
MWC
|
140
|
95
|
235
|
67
|
0.201
|
282.2
|
57
|
||
|
Nebraska
|
B10
|
91
|
116
|
207
|
156
|
0.363
|
282.2
|
58
|
||
|
Texas Tech
|
B12
|
122
|
86
|
208
|
152
|
0.349
|
280.6
|
59
|
||
|
St. Bonaventure
|
A10
|
140
|
108
|
248
|
41
|
0.129
|
279.9
|
60
|
||
|
Saint Joseph's
|
A10
|
119
|
105
|
224
|
100
|
0.249
|
279.7
|
61
|
||
|
La Salle
|
A10
|
114
|
96
|
210
|
147
|
0.326
|
278.5
|
62
|
||
|
Purdue
|
B10
|
141
|
75
|
216
|
133
|
0.289
|
278.3
|
63
|
||
|
California
|
P12
|
119
|
86
|
205
|
170
|
0.357
|
278.1
|
64
|
||
|
San Francisco
|
WCC
|
149
|
80
|
229
|
78
|
0.208
|
276.6
|
65
|
||
|
Florida State
|
ACC
|
109
|
86
|
195
|
204
|
0.410
|
275.0
|
66
|
||
|
Harvard
|
IVY
|
130
|
165
|
295
|
7
|
-0.069
|
274.7
|
67
|
||
|
Clemson
|
ACC
|
97
|
127
|
224
|
100
|
0.222
|
273.7
|
68
|
||
|
DePaul
|
BE
|
118
|
76
|
194
|
210
|
0.408
|
273.2
|
69
|
||
|
Green Bay
|
HORIZON
|
138
|
118
|
256
|
24
|
0.066
|
273.0
|
70
|
||
|
Alabama
|
SEC
|
103
|
88
|
191
|
222
|
0.419
|
271.1
|
71
|
||
|
Washington
|
P12
|
133
|
76
|
209
|
149
|
0.291
|
269.8
|
72
|
||
|
Notre Dame
|
ACC
|
122
|
85
|
207
|
156
|
0.298
|
268.7
|
73
|
||
|
Penn State
|
B10
|
125
|
71
|
196
|
199
|
0.362
|
267.0
|
74
|
||
|
Louisiana Tech
|
CUSA
|
172
|
130
|
302
|
4
|
-0.122
|
265.3
|
75
|
||
|
South Carolina
|
SEC
|
113
|
93
|
206
|
162
|
0.285
|
264.7
|
76
|
||
|
Southern Methodist
|
AAC
|
119
|
117
|
236
|
66
|
0.121
|
264.5
|
77
|
||
|
Middle Tennessee State
|
CUSA
|
136
|
148
|
284
|
10
|
-0.072
|
263.6
|
78
|
||
|
Ole Miss
|
SEC
|
154
|
66
|
220
|
118
|
0.196
|
263.1
|
79
|
||
|
Northern Iowa
|
MVC
|
125
|
90
|
215
|
135
|
0.223
|
263.0
|
80
|
||
|
Pacific
|
WCC
|
133
|
77
|
210
|
147
|
0.242
|
260.8
|
81
|
||
|
Miami (FL)
|
ACC
|
82
|
119
|
201
|
186
|
0.297
|
260.8
|
82
|
||
|
Oakland
|
HORIZON
|
130
|
75
|
205
|
170
|
0.270
|
260.4
|
83
|
||
|
LSU
|
SEC
|
135
|
71
|
206
|
162
|
0.262
|
260.0
|
84
|
||
|
Missouri
|
SEC
|
133
|
74
|
207
|
156
|
0.240
|
256.8
|
85
|
||
|
North Dakota State
|
SUMMIT
|
135
|
107
|
242
|
50
|
0.054
|
255.0
|
86
|
||
|
Utah State
|
MWC
|
125
|
109
|
234
|
69
|
0.088
|
254.6
|
87
|
||
|
Tulsa
|
CUSA
|
130
|
111
|
241
|
53
|
0.046
|
252.1
|
88
|
||
|
Seton Hall
|
BE
|
115
|
91
|
206
|
162
|
0.221
|
251.5
|
89
|
||
|
Boston College
|
ACC
|
108
|
59
|
167
|
289
|
0.493
|
249.4
|
90
|
||
|
North Carolina State
|
ACC
|
120
|
70
|
190
|
225
|
0.311
|
249.2
|
91
|
||
|
UNLV
|
MWC
|
141
|
106
|
247
|
43
|
0.008
|
248.9
|
92
|
||
|
Eastern Michigan
|
MAC
|
104
|
110
|
214
|
139
|
0.157
|
247.5
|
93
|
||
|
UCF
|
AAC
|
124
|
74
|
198
|
195
|
0.250
|
247.5
|
94
|
||
|
Northwestern
|
B10
|
65
|
112
|
177
|
263
|
0.395
|
247.0
|
95
|
||
|
Cleveland State
|
HORIZON
|
132
|
99
|
231
|
74
|
0.069
|
247.0
|
96
|
||
|
Long Beach State
|
BIG WEST
|
117
|
75
|
192
|
219
|
0.278
|
245.3
|
97
|
||
|
Richmond
|
A10
|
101
|
103
|
204
|
176
|
0.201
|
245.0
|
98
|
||
|
George Mason
|
A10
|
99
|
87
|
186
|
235
|
0.308
|
243.3
|
99
|
||
|
Georgia Tech
|
ACC
|
92
|
103
|
195
|
204
|
0.243
|
242.3
|
100
|
||
Here is the LEGEND that explains each figure in the above
matrix:
1st column OFF: rating of each team’s offense
2nd column DEF: rating of each team’s defense
3rd column SUM: each team’s offense rating plus
each team’s defense rating
4th column RANK: how each team’s sum rating ranks
versus the other 351 teams in the country
5th column SOS: adjustment to be made for
schedule each team has faced to date
6th column ADJ RATING: SUM from above times 1
plus the SOS adjustment
7th column RANK: how each team’s SOS sum rating
ranks versus the other 351 teams in the country
One important aspect to remember when examining and
potentially using these ratings in your handicapping is my formula weights each
of my 10 statistics (on offense & defense) evenly in this
presentation. We do know however that
effective FG % for example will have more of an impact on scoring points and
thus winning games versus offensive rebounds – but each is significant and
correlated to scoring points. The best
rating a team could earn is 200 on offense & defense before being adjusted
for SOS.
For comparison purposes let’s take a look at my Top 25, the
AP Top 25, KenPom Top 25, Sagarin Top 25, RPI Top 25 and BPI Top 25:
|
AP
|
KENPOM
|
SAGARIN
|
RPI
|
BPI
|
|||
|
Team
|
RANK
|
RANK
|
RANK
|
RANK
|
RANK
|
RANK
|
|
|
Arizona
|
1
|
3
|
1
|
1
|
1
|
1
|
|
|
Florida
|
2
|
1
|
4
|
6
|
3
|
2
|
|
|
Villanova
|
3
|
6
|
8
|
3
|
5
|
8
|
|
|
Duke
|
4
|
4
|
3
|
2
|
8
|
5
|
|
|
Wisconsin
|
5
|
9
|
10
|
9
|
4
|
9
|
|
|
Ohio State
|
6
|
14
|
14
|
25
|
17
|
||
|
Tennessee
|
7
|
23
|
|||||
|
Virginia
|
8
|
5
|
2
|
7
|
10
|
7
|
|
|
Michigan
|
9
|
12
|
13
|
11
|
12
|
22
|
|
|
Syracuse
|
10
|
7
|
11
|
16
|
6
|
10
|
|
|
VCU
|
11
|
17
|
15
|
21
|
|||
|
Pittsburgh
|
12
|
15
|
21
|
13
|
|||
|
Kansas
|
13
|
8
|
9
|
4
|
2
|
3
|
|
|
San Diego State
|
14
|
10
|
25
|
22
|
|||
|
Michigan State
|
15
|
22
|
20
|
12
|
23
|
18
|
|
|
Baylor
|
16
|
||||||
|
Louisville
|
17
|
11
|
5
|
5
|
6
|
||
|
Iowa
|
18
|
24
|
12
|
10
|
16
|
||
|
Cincinnati
|
19
|
15
|
18
|
24
|
16
|
24
|
|
|
Providence
|
20
|
||||||
|
North Carolina
|
21
|
14
|
22
|
23
|
18
|
||
|
Creighton
|
22
|
13
|
7
|
8
|
9
|
11
|
|
|
UCLA
|
23
|
16
|
18
|
21
|
15
|
||
|
Maryland
|
24
|
||||||
|
Iowa State
|
25
|
16
|
13
|
11
|
14
|
Next up let’s examine conference by conference SOS so we can
get a feel for which conferences are the toughest, likely leading to additional
teams earning bids for the NCAA Tournament:
|
CONFERENCE
|
STRENGTH
|
|
B10
|
1
|
|
BE
|
2
|
|
B12
|
3
|
|
ACC
|
4
|
|
P12
|
5
|
|
A10
|
6
|
|
SEC
|
7
|
|
AAC
|
8
|
|
WCC
|
9
|
|
MWC
|
10
|
|
HORIZON
|
11
|
|
MVC
|
12
|
|
SUMMIT
|
13
|
|
MAC
|
14
|
|
IVY
|
15
|
|
SUN BELT
|
16
|
|
MAAC
|
17
|
|
CUSA
|
18
|
|
BIG WEST
|
19
|
|
CAA
|
20
|
|
WAC
|
21
|
|
PATRIOT
|
22
|
|
OVC
|
23
|
|
BIG SKY
|
24
|
|
NEC
|
25
|
|
SOUTHLAND
|
26
|
|
SOCON
|
27
|
|
AMER EAST
|
28
|
|
ASUN
|
29
|
|
BIG SOUTH
|
30
|
|
INDEPENDENT
|
31
|
|
MEAC
|
32
|
|
SWAC
|
33
|
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