We are coming off projecting 67 of the Field of 68, just
like Jerry Palm & Joe Lunardi; we missed SMU, which was one of our last
four teams in the field (unlike those two who had them safely in) as we blogged
& tweeted multiple times last week their resume wasn’t as strong as many
led you to believe. We also expected one
surprise team to show up in the field, and it was NC State snagging that
bid. We also only missed 4 at-large teams that made final field from our original projection on January 31.
Now that the field is set here is some analysis using the
SBPI on each region:
ADJ RATINGS
|
||||
Team
|
NCAA Seed
|
REGION
|
RANK
|
|
Florida
|
1
|
SOUTH
|
1
|
|
Arizona
|
1
|
WEST
|
2
|
|
Virginia
|
1
|
EAST
|
7
|
|
Wichita State
|
1
|
MIDWEST
|
31
|
|
Villanova
|
2
|
EAST
|
3
|
|
Wisconsin
|
2
|
WEST
|
8
|
|
Michigan
|
2
|
MIDWEST
|
13
|
|
Kansas
|
2
|
SOUTH
|
17
|
|
Duke
|
3
|
MIDWEST
|
4
|
|
Syracuse
|
3
|
SOUTH
|
15
|
|
Iowa State
|
3
|
EAST
|
24
|
|
Creighton
|
3
|
WEST
|
30
|
|
Louisville
|
4
|
MIDWEST
|
9
|
|
San Diego State
|
4
|
WEST
|
12
|
|
Michigan State
|
4
|
EAST
|
14
|
|
UCLA
|
4
|
SOUTH
|
23
|
|
VCU
|
5
|
SOUTH
|
11
|
|
Cincinnati
|
5
|
EAST
|
19
|
|
Oklahoma
|
5
|
WEST
|
27
|
|
Saint Louis
|
5
|
MIDWEST
|
38
|
|
Ohio State
|
6
|
SOUTH
|
5
|
|
Baylor
|
6
|
WEST
|
16
|
|
North Carolina
|
6
|
EAST
|
22
|
|
Massachusetts
|
6
|
MIDWEST
|
36
|
|
Oregon
|
7
|
WEST
|
25
|
|
Connecticut
|
7
|
EAST
|
37
|
|
Texas
|
7
|
MIDWEST
|
43
|
|
New Mexico
|
7
|
SOUTH
|
59
|
|
Kentucky
|
8
|
MIDWEST
|
21
|
|
Memphis
|
8
|
EAST
|
34
|
|
Colorado
|
8
|
SOUTH
|
35
|
|
Gonzaga
|
8
|
WEST
|
55
|
|
Pittsburgh
|
9
|
SOUTH
|
10
|
|
Oklahoma State
|
9
|
WEST
|
29
|
|
Kansas State
|
9
|
MIDWEST
|
42
|
|
George Washington
|
9
|
EAST
|
45
|
|
Stanford
|
10
|
SOUTH
|
39
|
|
Arizona State
|
10
|
MIDWEST
|
46
|
|
Brigham Young
|
10
|
WEST
|
51
|
|
Saint Joseph's
|
10
|
EAST
|
54
|
|
Tennessee
|
11
|
MIDWEST
|
6
|
|
Iowa
|
11
|
MIDWEST
|
18
|
|
Providence
|
11
|
EAST
|
20
|
|
Dayton
|
11
|
SOUTH
|
47
|
|
Nebraska
|
11
|
WEST
|
56
|
|
Xavier
|
12
|
MIDWEST
|
40
|
|
Harvard
|
12
|
EAST
|
70
|
|
North Carolina State
|
12
|
MIDWEST
|
79
|
|
North Dakota State
|
12
|
WEST
|
87
|
|
Stephen F. Austin
|
12
|
SOUTH
|
173
|
|
Tulsa
|
13
|
SOUTH
|
90
|
|
Manhattan
|
13
|
MIDWEST
|
99
|
|
Delaware
|
13
|
EAST
|
155
|
|
New Mexico State
|
13
|
WEST
|
164
|
|
Louisiana-Lafayette
|
14
|
WEST
|
107
|
|
Mercer
|
14
|
MIDWEST
|
166
|
|
Western Michigan
|
14
|
SOUTH
|
220
|
|
North Carolina Central
|
14
|
EAST
|
255
|
|
Milwaukee
|
15
|
EAST
|
161
|
|
Eastern Kentucky
|
15
|
SOUTH
|
190
|
|
Wofford
|
15
|
MIDWEST
|
211
|
|
American University
|
15
|
WEST
|
217
|
|
Cal Poly
|
16
|
MIDWEST
|
117
|
|
Mount St. Mary's
|
16
|
SOUTH
|
201
|
|
Weber State
|
16
|
WEST
|
247
|
|
Albany
|
16
|
SOUTH
|
257
|
|
Coastal Carolina
|
16
|
EAST
|
302
|
|
Texas Southern
|
16
|
MIDWEST
|
323
|
The above matrix shows each team in the Field of 68 first
sorted by seed, and secondarily sorted using their ranking in my SBPI (detailed
explanation of which can be found in prior blog entries). We then wanted to test each region’s strength
using SBPI on three levels:
- Entire region (taking the average SBPI rating of the teams involved in the 4 play-in games)
- Top 8 in each region
- Top 4 in each region
AVG RANK
|
TOP 8 AVG RANK
|
TOP 4 AVG RANK
|
|
SOUTH
|
72.8
|
20.8
|
14.0
|
EAST
|
76.4
|
20.0
|
12.0
|
WEST
|
70.8
|
21.9
|
13.0
|
MIDWEST
|
65.7
|
24.4
|
14.3
|
The lower a score above the tougher the region – meaning we
see some interesting scenarios. While
the Midwest is clearly the toughest region from top to bottom it is also ranked
as the easiest when isolating the Top 8 & Top 4 teams in the region. A lot of the “strength” in the Midwest region
is coming from the 11 line where the play-in game between Tennessee &
Providence comes between two teams with an average rating of 12; the other
three regions have ratings on the 11 line of 20, 47 & 56. On the flip side the East region is clearly
the weakest #1-16 but is also the toughest using Top 8 & Top 4 teams. Of the top 8 seeds the East does not have the
weakest ranked team on any of the eight lines.
Check back during the week for additional analysis on the
tournament.
Thanks again for reading, please feel free to:
Email me directly: boss@thesportsboss.com
Visit my website: www.thesportsboss.com
Follow me on Twitter: @SportsBoss
Follow me on Facebook: The SportsBoss
Leave comments here on the blog
COPYRIGHT: THE SPORTSBOSS, 2014
No comments:
Post a Comment