After nearly 2 full calendar years of work, tweaking and
adjusting I am finally ready to publish my initial SportsBoss Power Index
(SBPI) of all 351 teams in college basketball!
It has taken a ton of work, many adjustments and tweaks, but I feel
comfortable with the numbers, and have finally mathematically found a way to
minimize the number of “outliers” where publishing these figures makes
sense.
Without further ado here are the numbers for the Top 100
teams:
|
ALL STATS GRADED STRAIGHT
|
SOS ADJ RATING & RANK
|
|||||||||
|
Team
|
Conference
|
OFF
|
DEF
|
SUM
|
RANK
|
SOS
|
RATING
|
RANK
|
||
|
Arizona
|
P12
|
147
|
150
|
297
|
5
|
0.368
|
406.44
|
1
|
||
|
Villanova
|
BE
|
167
|
109
|
276
|
13
|
0.431
|
394.89
|
2
|
||
|
Florida
|
SEC
|
143
|
157
|
300
|
4
|
0.304
|
391.14
|
3
|
||
|
Duke
|
ACC
|
168
|
104
|
272
|
18
|
0.432
|
389.38
|
4
|
||
|
Wisconsin
|
B10
|
128
|
131
|
259
|
25
|
0.471
|
381.07
|
5
|
||
|
Ohio
State
|
B10
|
118
|
163
|
281
|
11
|
0.303
|
366.14
|
6
|
||
|
Michigan
|
B10
|
131
|
120
|
251
|
34
|
0.455
|
365.27
|
7
|
||
|
Tennessee
|
SEC
|
150
|
126
|
276
|
13
|
0.319
|
364.06
|
8
|
||
|
Virginia
|
ACC
|
109
|
159
|
268
|
20
|
0.332
|
357.01
|
9
|
||
|
Syracuse
|
ACC
|
134
|
141
|
275
|
15
|
0.275
|
350.70
|
10
|
||
|
San
Diego State
|
MWC
|
139
|
157
|
296
|
8
|
0.177
|
348.35
|
11
|
||
|
Pittsburgh
|
ACC
|
140
|
135
|
275
|
15
|
0.264
|
347.50
|
12
|
||
|
VCU
|
A10
|
147
|
130
|
277
|
12
|
0.252
|
346.91
|
13
|
||
|
Michigan
State
|
B10
|
143
|
107
|
250
|
38
|
0.386
|
346.59
|
14
|
||
|
Iowa
|
B10
|
170
|
100
|
270
|
19
|
0.271
|
343.08
|
15
|
||
|
UCLA
|
P12
|
151
|
110
|
261
|
24
|
0.296
|
338.25
|
16
|
||
|
Baylor
|
B12
|
162
|
82
|
244
|
48
|
0.385
|
337.83
|
17
|
||
|
Kansas
|
B12
|
142
|
79
|
221
|
114
|
0.527
|
337.41
|
18
|
||
|
North
Carolina
|
ACC
|
153
|
98
|
251
|
34
|
0.342
|
336.73
|
19
|
||
|
Louisville
|
AAC
|
177
|
138
|
315
|
1
|
0.062
|
334.39
|
20
|
||
|
Providence
|
BE
|
141
|
103
|
244
|
48
|
0.352
|
329.94
|
21
|
||
|
Cincinnati
|
AAC
|
136
|
161
|
297
|
5
|
0.106
|
328.59
|
22
|
||
|
Kentucky
|
SEC
|
153
|
90
|
243
|
50
|
0.326
|
322.29
|
23
|
||
|
Creighton
|
BE
|
135
|
106
|
241
|
56
|
0.337
|
322.20
|
24
|
||
|
Maryland
|
ACC
|
130
|
100
|
230
|
81
|
0.391
|
319.93
|
25
|
||
|
Iowa
State
|
B12
|
149
|
78
|
227
|
90
|
0.392
|
316.07
|
26
|
||
|
Wichita
State
|
MVC
|
150
|
147
|
297
|
5
|
0.061
|
315.05
|
27
|
||
|
Marquette
|
BE
|
135
|
106
|
241
|
56
|
0.302
|
313.68
|
28
|
||
|
Saint
Louis
|
A10
|
114
|
154
|
268
|
20
|
0.168
|
313.08
|
29
|
||
|
Oklahoma
|
B12
|
167
|
61
|
228
|
87
|
0.370
|
312.47
|
30
|
||
|
Oklahoma
State
|
B12
|
150
|
88
|
238
|
63
|
0.297
|
308.63
|
31
|
||
|
George
Washington
|
A10
|
137
|
114
|
251
|
34
|
0.229
|
308.40
|
32
|
||
|
Texas
|
B12
|
149
|
76
|
225
|
97
|
0.364
|
306.96
|
33
|
||
|
Butler
|
BE
|
114
|
114
|
228
|
87
|
0.346
|
306.79
|
34
|
||
|
Minnesota
|
B10
|
127
|
95
|
222
|
108
|
0.380
|
306.34
|
35
|
||
|
Connecticut
|
AAC
|
141
|
108
|
249
|
43
|
0.228
|
305.89
|
36
|
||
|
Utah
|
P12
|
138
|
129
|
267
|
22
|
0.143
|
305.05
|
37
|
||
|
Boise
State
|
MWC
|
154
|
98
|
252
|
31
|
0.202
|
302.95
|
38
|
||
|
Stanford
|
P12
|
133
|
93
|
226
|
93
|
0.338
|
302.38
|
39
|
||
|
Arizona
State
|
P12
|
131
|
98
|
229
|
84
|
0.309
|
299.77
|
40
|
||
|
Massachusetts
|
A10
|
135
|
88
|
223
|
107
|
0.342
|
299.21
|
41
|
||
|
Colorado
|
P12
|
121
|
104
|
225
|
97
|
0.329
|
299.01
|
42
|
||
|
Kansas
State
|
B12
|
125
|
107
|
232
|
75
|
0.287
|
298.61
|
43
|
||
|
Oregon
|
P12
|
158
|
81
|
239
|
62
|
0.247
|
298.07
|
44
|
||
|
St.
John's
|
BE
|
123
|
103
|
226
|
93
|
0.312
|
296.61
|
45
|
||
|
Memphis
|
AAC
|
147
|
103
|
250
|
38
|
0.174
|
293.46
|
46
|
||
|
Illinois
|
B10
|
101
|
123
|
224
|
102
|
0.308
|
293.04
|
47
|
||
|
Saint
Mary's
|
WCC
|
145
|
112
|
257
|
28
|
0.140
|
293.01
|
48
|
||
|
Dayton
|
A10
|
143
|
113
|
256
|
29
|
0.140
|
291.81
|
49
|
||
|
Brigham
Young
|
WCC
|
163
|
63
|
226
|
93
|
0.291
|
291.71
|
50
|
||
|
Georgetown
|
BE
|
116
|
96
|
212
|
146
|
0.372
|
290.93
|
51
|
||
|
Xavier
|
BE
|
130
|
92
|
222
|
108
|
0.310
|
290.87
|
52
|
||
|
Arkansas
|
SEC
|
161
|
91
|
252
|
31
|
0.146
|
288.72
|
53
|
||
|
Nebraska
|
B10
|
95
|
116
|
211
|
151
|
0.367
|
288.41
|
54
|
||
|
Harvard
|
IVY
|
129
|
160
|
289
|
9
|
-0.010
|
286.18
|
55
|
||
|
West
Virginia
|
B12
|
160
|
60
|
220
|
120
|
0.294
|
284.72
|
56
|
||
|
California
|
P12
|
128
|
90
|
218
|
128
|
0.299
|
283.13
|
57
|
||
|
Texas
Tech
|
B12
|
131
|
87
|
218
|
128
|
0.297
|
282.78
|
58
|
||
|
La
Salle
|
A10
|
119
|
91
|
210
|
156
|
0.337
|
280.67
|
59
|
||
|
Florida
State
|
ACC
|
109
|
87
|
196
|
201
|
0.428
|
279.80
|
60
|
||
|
Gonzaga
|
WCC
|
139
|
102
|
241
|
56
|
0.156
|
278.59
|
61
|
||
|
New
Mexico
|
MWC
|
139
|
88
|
227
|
90
|
0.227
|
278.50
|
62
|
||
|
St.
Bonaventure
|
A10
|
142
|
109
|
251
|
34
|
0.101
|
276.23
|
63
|
||
|
Clemson
|
ACC
|
99
|
128
|
227
|
90
|
0.207
|
274.08
|
64
|
||
|
Notre
Dame
|
ACC
|
122
|
89
|
211
|
151
|
0.297
|
273.75
|
65
|
||
|
DePaul
|
BE
|
124
|
72
|
196
|
201
|
0.393
|
273.06
|
66
|
||
|
Green
Bay
|
HORIZON
|
140
|
118
|
258
|
27
|
0.049
|
270.62
|
67
|
||
|
Alabama
|
SEC
|
101
|
90
|
191
|
219
|
0.414
|
270.13
|
68
|
||
|
Saint
Joseph's
|
A10
|
117
|
103
|
220
|
120
|
0.222
|
268.76
|
69
|
||
|
Indiana
|
B10
|
113
|
118
|
231
|
79
|
0.158
|
267.59
|
70
|
||
|
Eastern
Michigan
|
MAC
|
108
|
107
|
215
|
135
|
0.244
|
267.53
|
71
|
||
|
South
Carolina
|
SEC
|
113
|
99
|
212
|
146
|
0.260
|
267.12
|
72
|
||
|
Washington
|
P12
|
132
|
71
|
203
|
177
|
0.311
|
266.10
|
73
|
||
|
North
Dakota State
|
SUMMIT
|
134
|
108
|
242
|
53
|
0.099
|
265.94
|
74
|
||
|
San
Francisco
|
WCC
|
151
|
70
|
221
|
114
|
0.203
|
265.86
|
75
|
||
|
Purdue
|
B10
|
141
|
77
|
218
|
128
|
0.219
|
265.71
|
76
|
||
|
Missouri
|
SEC
|
135
|
76
|
211
|
151
|
0.257
|
265.23
|
77
|
||
|
Pacific
|
WCC
|
136
|
76
|
212
|
146
|
0.241
|
263.12
|
78
|
||
|
Southern
Methodist
|
AAC
|
118
|
115
|
233
|
74
|
0.124
|
261.95
|
79
|
||
|
Ole
Miss
|
SEC
|
154
|
65
|
219
|
124
|
0.194
|
261.47
|
80
|
||
|
Penn
State
|
B10
|
128
|
68
|
196
|
201
|
0.330
|
260.66
|
81
|
||
|
Oakland
|
HORIZON
|
130
|
72
|
202
|
180
|
0.275
|
257.57
|
82
|
||
|
Northern
Iowa
|
MVC
|
125
|
84
|
209
|
158
|
0.227
|
256.46
|
83
|
||
|
Middle
Tennessee State
|
CUSA
|
143
|
139
|
282
|
10
|
-0.091
|
256.42
|
84
|
||
|
Long
Beach State
|
BIG WEST
|
116
|
78
|
194
|
211
|
0.320
|
256.13
|
85
|
||
|
Tulsa
|
CUSA
|
133
|
108
|
241
|
56
|
0.062
|
255.98
|
86
|
||
|
LSU
|
SEC
|
139
|
70
|
209
|
158
|
0.224
|
255.74
|
87
|
||
|
Utah
State
|
MWC
|
127
|
107
|
234
|
70
|
0.073
|
251.18
|
88
|
||
|
Louisiana
Tech
|
CUSA
|
175
|
126
|
301
|
3
|
-0.168
|
250.49
|
89
|
||
|
Miami
(FL)
|
ACC
|
81
|
121
|
202
|
180
|
0.237
|
249.78
|
90
|
||
|
Cleveland
State
|
HORIZON
|
134
|
98
|
232
|
75
|
0.074
|
249.13
|
91
|
||
|
Wyoming
|
MWC
|
93
|
129
|
222
|
108
|
0.120
|
248.64
|
92
|
||
|
Seton
Hall
|
BE
|
114
|
90
|
204
|
171
|
0.216
|
248.07
|
93
|
||
|
UCF
|
AAC
|
130
|
70
|
200
|
189
|
0.234
|
246.70
|
94
|
||
|
North
Carolina State
|
ACC
|
116
|
73
|
189
|
230
|
0.305
|
246.61
|
95
|
||
|
Richmond
|
A10
|
106
|
102
|
208
|
162
|
0.182
|
245.83
|
96
|
||
|
George
Mason
|
A10
|
100
|
91
|
191
|
219
|
0.286
|
245.61
|
97
|
||
|
Northwestern
|
B10
|
66
|
110
|
176
|
268
|
0.386
|
243.89
|
98
|
||
|
Boston
College
|
ACC
|
107
|
57
|
164
|
298
|
0.486
|
243.77
|
99
|
||
|
UNLV
|
MWC
|
135
|
105
|
240
|
60
|
0.011
|
242.58
|
100
|
||
Here is the LEGEND that explains each figure in the above
matrix:
1st column OFF: rating of each team’s offense
2nd column DEF: rating of each team’s defense
3rd column SUM: each team’s offense rating plus
each team’s defense rating
4th column RANK: how each team’s sum rating ranks
versus the other 351 teams in the country
5th column SOS: adjustment to be made for
schedule each team has faced to date
6th column ADJ RATING: SUM from above times 1
plus the SOS adjustment
7th column RANK: how each team’s SOS sum rating
ranks versus the other 351 teams in the country
One important aspect to remember when examining and
potentially using these ratings in your handicapping is my formula weights each
of my 10 statistics (on offense & defense) evenly in this
presentation. We do know however that
effective FG % for example will have more of an impact on scoring points and thus
winning games versus offensive rebounds – but each is significant and
correlated to scoring points. The best
rating a team could earn is 200 on offense & defense before being adjusted
for SOS.
For comparison purposes let’s take a look at my Top 25, the
AP Top 25, ESPN/USATODAY Top 25, KenPom Top 25, Sagarin Top 25, RPI Top 25 and
BPI Top 25:
|
AP
|
ESPN
|
KENPOM
|
SAGARIN
|
RPI
|
BPI
|
||||
|
Team
|
RANK
|
RANK
|
RANK
|
RANK
|
RANK
|
RANK
|
RANK
|
||
|
Arizona
|
1
|
3
|
3
|
1
|
1
|
2
|
1
|
||
|
Villanova
|
2
|
8
|
9
|
9
|
4
|
4
|
10
|
||
|
Florida
|
3
|
1
|
1
|
4
|
5
|
3
|
2
|
||
|
Duke
|
4
|
6
|
7
|
3
|
3
|
6
|
8
|
||
|
Wisconsin
|
5
|
14
|
14
|
12
|
6
|
5
|
12
|
||
|
Ohio
State
|
6
|
22
|
20
|
13
|
13
|
17
|
15
|
||
|
Michigan
|
7
|
16
|
16
|
14
|
10
|
15
|
23
|
||
|
Tennessee
|
8
|
||||||||
|
Virginia
|
9
|
12
|
11
|
6
|
12
|
16
|
13
|
||
|
Syracuse
|
10
|
4
|
5
|
11
|
14
|
8
|
7
|
||
|
San
Diego State
|
11
|
13
|
13
|
2
|
20
|
||||
|
Pittsburgh
|
12
|
18
|
21
|
18
|
|||||
|
VCU
|
13
|
23
|
24
|
24
|
|||||
|
Michigan
State
|
14
|
18
|
18
|
17
|
11
|
18
|
17
|
||
|
Iowa
|
15
|
20
|
19
|
10
|
9
|
11
|
|||
|
UCLA
|
16
|
15
|
16
|
14
|
14
|
||||
|
Baylor
|
17
|
||||||||
|
Kansas
|
18
|
5
|
6
|
7
|
2
|
1
|
3
|
||
|
North
Carolina
|
19
|
19
|
21
|
20
|
19
|
22
|
|||
|
Louisville
|
20
|
7
|
4
|
2
|
8
|
5
|
|||
|
Providence
|
21
|
||||||||
|
Cincinnati
|
22
|
11
|
12
|
21
|
20
|
19
|
22
|
||
|
Kentucky
|
23
|
17
|
15
|
16
|
18
|
11
|
4
|
||
|
Creighton
|
24
|
9
|
10
|
5
|
7
|
7
|
9
|
||
|
Maryland
|
25
|
There are four teams that stand out in my ratings compared
to the other indices mentioned (and we could thus be bullish on the squads):
- #8 Tennessee
- #17 Baylor
- #21 Providence
- #25 Maryland
Next up let’s examine conference by conference SOS so we can
get a feel for which conferences are the toughest, likely leading to additional
teams earning bids for the NCAA Tournament:
|
CONFERENCE
|
STRENGTH
|
|
B10
|
1
|
|
BE
|
2
|
|
B12
|
3
|
|
ACC
|
4
|
|
P12
|
5
|
|
A10
|
6
|
|
SEC
|
7
|
|
AAC
|
8
|
|
WCC
|
9
|
|
MWC
|
10
|
|
HORIZON
|
11
|
|
MVC
|
12
|
|
SUMMIT
|
13
|
|
MAC
|
14
|
|
SUN BELT
|
15
|
|
IVY
|
16
|
|
BIG WEST
|
17
|
|
MAAC
|
18
|
|
CUSA
|
19
|
|
CAA
|
20
|
|
WAC
|
21
|
|
PATRIOT
|
22
|
|
OVC
|
23
|
|
BIG SKY
|
24
|
|
NEC
|
25
|
|
SOUTHLAND
|
26
|
|
SOCON
|
27
|
|
BIG SOUTH
|
28
|
|
ASUN
|
29
|
|
AMERICA EAST
|
30
|
|
MEAC
|
31
|
|
SWAC
|
32
|
|
INDEPENDENT
|
33
|
We all know the Big Ten is likely the strongest conference
simply by using the eye test and the rankings, but in addition the SBPI support
that conference as being the best from top to bottom. Next up is somewhat of a surprise perhaps
with the Big East – how are they ranked 2nd, ahead of the ACC &
Big 12 for example? Remember these
ratings look at conferences from top to bottom, meaning if conference have
badly rated teams at the bottom of their league it will impact their conference
rating. The Big East has 10 schools in
the conference and NINE of those teams are ranked in the Top 66 in SOS adjusted
rating with only Seton Hall rating outside at a non-awful #93. The ACC has 15 schools in the conference now
and SIX rank #90 or worse which more than offsets the fact they also have 4 in
the top 12 & 6 in the Top 25 (no ACC team currently ranks between #26-59. The Big 12’s highest ranked team is Baylor at
#17, but of the 9 schools in the conference 8 are in the Top 58 with TCU #203
really dragging down the conference’s overall rating.
For this entry I wanted to get the data out there and
hopefully spark some conversation from my Twitter followers and clients. I would love to hear from anyone and everyone
via email, leaving comments here or on Twitter – I respond to everyone. In coming editions of these ratings I will
get into more discussions on a team by team basis. I have set all these files up to
automatically update each morning so I will keep everyone abreast of
significant changes to teams in the power conferences – but I have found there
isn’t many dramatic moves at all which makes my formula all the better.
Thanks again for reading, please feel free to:
Email me directly: boss@thesportsboss.com
Visit my website: www.thesportsboss.com
Follow me on Twitter: @SportsBoss
Follow me on Facebook: The SportsBoss
Leave comments here on the blog
COPYRIGHT: THE SPORTSBOSS, 2014
