Here is the FINAL 2014-2015 College Basketball SBPI ratings
covering action through the National Championship Game (NON-ADJ RANK = pure
statistical rating prior to SOS adjustment; SUM is rating for team & can be
compared to prior season’s in my Top 100 of last 12 year’s blog entry or vs.
last year on a weekly basis – check toolbar to right, click 2014 &
reference February & March; RANK = rankings of each team’s SOS Adjusted
performance; KP = Ken Pomeroy’s Rankings; BPI = ESPN’s Basketball Power Index
Rankings; RPI = Ratings Power Index Rankings; SAG = Jeff Sagarin’s Rankings):
|
NON-ADJ
|
ADJ RATINGS
|
TOP 50
|
|||||||
|
Team
|
RANK
|
SUM
|
RANK
|
KP
|
BPI
|
RPI
|
SAG
|
||
|
Duke
|
7
|
425.8
|
1
|
4
|
6
|
5
|
2
|
||
|
Wisconsin
|
8
|
416.6
|
2
|
3
|
2
|
2
|
3
|
||
|
Kentucky
|
4
|
415.1
|
3
|
1
|
1
|
1
|
1
|
||
|
Arizona
|
1
|
412.3
|
4
|
2
|
3
|
6
|
4
|
||
|
Villanova
|
2
|
408.4
|
5
|
6
|
5
|
4
|
6
|
||
|
Louisville
|
9
|
392.7
|
6
|
16
|
15
|
21
|
12
|
||
|
West Virginia
|
15
|
384.6
|
7
|
26
|
23
|
24
|
23
|
||
|
Butler
|
12
|
381.0
|
8
|
20
|
20
|
31
|
19
|
||
|
Baylor
|
19
|
379.6
|
9
|
17
|
19
|
10
|
18
|
||
|
Utah
|
15
|
372.8
|
10
|
8
|
10
|
20
|
9
|
||
|
VCU
|
12
|
363.9
|
11
|
28
|
25
|
14
|
30
|
||
|
Virginia
|
29
|
358.4
|
12
|
5
|
4
|
7
|
5
|
||
|
Kansas
|
92
|
354.8
|
13
|
14
|
8
|
2
|
13
|
||
|
Wichita State
|
5
|
352.1
|
14
|
10
|
12
|
17
|
14
|
||
|
Providence
|
57
|
350.7
|
15
|
30
|
33
|
23
|
29
|
||
|
Iowa
|
32
|
350.0
|
16
|
19
|
36
|
43
|
21
|
||
|
Ohio State
|
18
|
348.3
|
17
|
21
|
17
|
39
|
17
|
||
|
Michigan State
|
62
|
348.0
|
18
|
15
|
18
|
22
|
11
|
||
|
North Carolina
|
115
|
347.7
|
19
|
11
|
11
|
11
|
10
|
||
|
Xavier
|
69
|
343.0
|
20
|
22
|
26
|
30
|
22
|
||
|
Oklahoma
|
66
|
342.4
|
21
|
13
|
13
|
18
|
16
|
||
|
Florida
|
81
|
338.9
|
22
|
45
|
35
|
47
|
|||
|
Georgetown
|
77
|
336.6
|
23
|
24
|
22
|
25
|
25
|
||
|
Iowa State
|
64
|
334.9
|
24
|
18
|
16
|
9
|
15
|
||
|
North Carolina State
|
77
|
334.5
|
25
|
31
|
34
|
40
|
26
|
||
|
Arkansas
|
35
|
328.9
|
26
|
29
|
21
|
19
|
28
|
||
|
Gonzaga
|
11
|
328.0
|
27
|
7
|
7
|
8
|
7
|
||
|
Texas
|
77
|
326.0
|
28
|
25
|
27
|
42
|
24
|
||
|
Syracuse
|
61
|
323.1
|
29
|
48
|
|||||
|
Stanford
|
57
|
321.6
|
30
|
41
|
37
|
31
|
|||
|
Illinois
|
47
|
321.4
|
31
|
||||||
|
UCLA
|
89
|
319.9
|
32
|
33
|
43
|
49
|
39
|
||
|
Oklahoma State
|
112
|
318.8
|
33
|
47
|
50
|
46
|
43
|
||
|
Georgia Tech
|
99
|
314.5
|
34
|
||||||
|
South Carolina
|
97
|
310.2
|
35
|
||||||
|
Notre Dame
|
73
|
305.6
|
36
|
9
|
9
|
16
|
8
|
||
|
Minnesota
|
69
|
304.7
|
37
|
||||||
|
Miami (FL)
|
92
|
304.1
|
38
|
46
|
41
|
35
|
|||
|
Arizona State
|
81
|
301.6
|
39
|
||||||
|
Purdue
|
89
|
301.4
|
40
|
48
|
39
|
34
|
|||
|
Brigham Young
|
33
|
299.1
|
41
|
35
|
31
|
38
|
41
|
||
|
Ole Miss
|
99
|
299.0
|
42
|
50
|
40
|
||||
|
San Diego State
|
35
|
297.9
|
43
|
27
|
48
|
27
|
33
|
||
|
Illinois State
|
43
|
297.8
|
44
|
||||||
|
Dayton
|
31
|
297.0
|
45
|
37
|
29
|
32
|
42
|
||
|
Indiana
|
81
|
296.2
|
46
|
47
|
38
|
||||
|
Georgia
|
146
|
294.8
|
47
|
39
|
30
|
37
|
40
|
||
|
Seton Hall
|
132
|
291.9
|
48
|
||||||
|
Pittsburgh
|
129
|
288.5
|
49
|
||||||
|
Southern Methodist
|
35
|
287.4
|
50
|
23
|
24
|
13
|
32
|
||
Here are the teams from the above matrix that rank inside
the Top 100 over the last 13 seasons (as far back as my model has been tested):
- Duke 425.8: 13th
- Wisconsin 416.6: 19th
- Kentucky 415.1: 21st
- Arizona 412.3: 23rd
- Villanova 408.4: 29th
- Louisville 392.7: 46th
- West Virginia 384.6: 64th
- Butler 381.0: 76th
- Baylor 379.6: 77th
- Utah 372.8: 93rd
So by dividing 100 by 13 you would expect approximately 7-8
teams to be ranked inside the Top 100 for each year; however this year we had
10 AND perhaps a bigger sign this was a solid year for the best teams there
were 5 teams that now rank inside the Top 29 teams of the last 13 seasons. But with Duke checking in at #13 it does
suggest there was no great team this year, but a few that were in the mix to
win the national title – see the top 4 especially.
One more interesting tidbit on the above Top 50 ratings is
just 6 of the Top 28 teams returned fewer than 3 starters this season (Baylor
1, Kansas 2, Ohio State 2, Michigan State 2, Xavier 2, and Florida 1). In addition quite a few teams look very “out
of place” with such a high rating; those would be teams I am extremely bullish
on going into next season as many of them had injuries this season and return a
bulk of their starters for next year.
Next up let’s take a look where each of the current Top 25 in
SBPI ranked in the past:
|
Team
|
18-Jan
|
25-Jan
|
1-Feb
|
8-Feb
|
15-Feb
|
22-Feb
|
1-Mar
|
8-Mar
|
15-Mar
|
FINAL
|
|
Duke
|
5
|
5
|
1
|
1
|
2
|
2
|
3
|
3
|
3
|
1
|
|
Wisconsin
|
16
|
9
|
9
|
9
|
9
|
8
|
9
|
7
|
6
|
2
|
|
Kentucky
|
1
|
1
|
2
|
2
|
1
|
1
|
1
|
1
|
1
|
3
|
|
Arizona
|
11
|
7
|
6
|
4
|
7
|
5
|
4
|
4
|
4
|
4
|
|
Villanova
|
3
|
4
|
3
|
3
|
3
|
4
|
2
|
2
|
2
|
5
|
|
Louisville
|
12
|
12
|
8
|
6
|
8
|
9
|
10
|
9
|
8
|
6
|
|
West Virginia
|
15
|
15
|
18
|
13
|
10
|
10
|
6
|
6
|
7
|
7
|
|
Butler
|
4
|
3
|
4
|
7
|
6
|
3
|
7
|
8
|
9
|
8
|
|
Baylor
|
9
|
6
|
7
|
8
|
4
|
6
|
5
|
5
|
5
|
9
|
|
Utah
|
14
|
11
|
12
|
12
|
13
|
11
|
12
|
12
|
12
|
10
|
|
VCU
|
6
|
8
|
10
|
11
|
15
|
16
|
11
|
11
|
10
|
11
|
|
Virginia
|
10
|
14
|
13
|
10
|
14
|
15
|
24
|
15
|
16
|
12
|
|
Kansas
|
2
|
2
|
5
|
5
|
5
|
7
|
8
|
10
|
11
|
13
|
|
Wichita State
|
7
|
10
|
11
|
15
|
19
|
24
|
20
|
26
|
28
|
14
|
|
Providence
|
20
|
20
|
21
|
18
|
18
|
14
|
19
|
16
|
13
|
15
|
|
Iowa
|
28
|
29
|
27
|
25
|
28
|
26
|
22
|
18
|
21
|
16
|
|
Ohio State
|
27
|
35
|
32
|
27
|
26
|
27
|
21
|
19
|
19
|
17
|
|
Michigan State
|
25
|
27
|
28
|
37
|
32
|
29
|
32
|
24
|
22
|
18
|
|
North Carolina
|
17
|
18
|
16
|
17
|
20
|
18
|
13
|
17
|
17
|
19
|
|
Xavier
|
18
|
19
|
14
|
20
|
17
|
20
|
18
|
21
|
18
|
20
|
|
Oklahoma
|
26
|
22
|
17
|
22
|
25
|
21
|
17
|
13
|
15
|
21
|
|
Florida
|
19
|
16
|
15
|
14
|
11
|
12
|
14
|
20
|
20
|
22
|
|
Georgetown
|
36
|
25
|
23
|
19
|
16
|
17
|
15
|
22
|
23
|
23
|
|
Iowa State
|
31
|
34
|
33
|
29
|
27
|
22
|
16
|
14
|
14
|
24
|
|
North Carolina State
|
23
|
26
|
36
|
38
|
30
|
33
|
27
|
28
|
27
|
25
|
Duke was the only team during the regular season to own the
top spot for even just one week (they did for two weeks) – and if you followed
my twitter feed during the season I tweeted multiple times during the year,
even back to early December, that my eye test believed Duke to be the team to
beat.
I will have a follow-up blog entry on the trends in the
above table, testing numerous statistical angles including correlation.
Strength of conference:
|
RANK
|
CONFERENCE
|
AVG RATING
|
|
1
|
B12
|
324.3
|
|
2
|
BE
|
310.3
|
|
3
|
ACC
|
306.0
|
|
4
|
B10
|
298.0
|
|
5
|
SEC
|
285.9
|
|
6
|
P12
|
283.1
|
|
7
|
A10
|
241.3
|
|
8
|
WCC
|
237.3
|
|
9
|
MVC
|
234.6
|
|
10
|
AAC
|
213.3
|
|
11
|
HORIZON
|
213.2
|
|
12
|
MAC
|
211.9
|
|
13
|
MWC
|
207.2
|
|
14
|
BIG WEST
|
202.1
|
|
15
|
IVY
|
199.4
|
|
16
|
CUSA
|
184.8
|
|
17
|
OVC
|
179.7
|
|
18
|
SUMMIT
|
175.6
|
|
19
|
SUN BELT
|
174.7
|
|
20
|
CAA
|
174.2
|
|
21
|
MAAC
|
168.7
|
|
22
|
INDEPENDENT
|
168.2
|
|
23
|
BIG SOUTH
|
168.0
|
|
24
|
PATRIOT
|
163.6
|
|
25
|
SOCON
|
161.1
|
|
26
|
BIG SKY
|
155.3
|
|
27
|
AMER EAST
|
147.7
|
|
28
|
NEC
|
147.0
|
|
29
|
SOUTHLAND
|
144.2
|
|
30
|
WAC
|
136.6
|
|
31
|
ASUN
|
130.9
|
|
32
|
MEAC
|
123.4
|
|
33
|
SWAC
|
100.0
|
We can really see how the Power 6 conferences are ranked
well above the rest of the pack here.
Next up let’s look at the Top 20 non-Power 6 (ACC, B12, B10,
BE, P12, SEC) conference teams:
|
NON-ADJ
|
ADJ RATINGS
|
TOP 50
|
|||||||
|
Team
|
RANK
|
SUM
|
RANK
|
KP
|
BPI
|
RPI
|
SAG
|
||
|
VCU
|
12
|
363.9
|
11
|
28
|
25
|
14
|
30
|
||
|
Wichita State
|
5
|
352.1
|
14
|
10
|
12
|
17
|
14
|
||
|
Gonzaga
|
11
|
328.0
|
27
|
7
|
7
|
8
|
7
|
||
|
Brigham Young
|
33
|
299.1
|
41
|
35
|
31
|
38
|
41
|
||
|
San Diego State
|
35
|
297.9
|
43
|
27
|
48
|
27
|
33
|
||
|
Illinois State
|
43
|
297.8
|
44
|
||||||
|
Dayton
|
31
|
297.0
|
45
|
37
|
29
|
32
|
42
|
||
|
Southern Methodist
|
35
|
287.4
|
50
|
23
|
24
|
13
|
32
|
||
|
Yale
|
21
|
284.6
|
51
|
||||||
|
Buffalo
|
46
|
284.0
|
53
|
29
|
|||||
|
Northern Iowa
|
38
|
275.5
|
58
|
12
|
14
|
15
|
20
|
||
|
Temple
|
50
|
273.1
|
62
|
34
|
|||||
|
Boise State
|
26
|
269.8
|
63
|
42
|
44
|
||||
|
Green Bay
|
33
|
268.2
|
64
|
||||||
|
George Washington
|
62
|
266.8
|
68
|
||||||
|
Rhode Island
|
50
|
266.6
|
69
|
49
|
|||||
|
Cincinnati
|
99
|
262.7
|
73
|
34
|
46
|
41
|
44
|
||
|
Harvard
|
38
|
261.8
|
74
|
||||||
|
Saint Mary's
|
54
|
261.0
|
75
|
||||||
|
Richmond
|
124
|
254.9
|
78
|
||||||
Thanks again for reading, please feel free to:
Email me directly: boss@thesportsboss.com
Visit my website: www.thesportsboss.com
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COPYRIGHT: THE SPORTSBOSS, 2015
