Here is the fourth CFB SBPI installment of the 2015
season. To read more about how I
calculate my ratings look back at last
week's entry that also has links to other entries surrounding this topic.
Without further ado here are the Top 25 rankings through
action on Saturday October 24. The
columns OFF/DEF/TOTAL represent where each team statistically ranks across 128
teams in the FBS; we also include the AP Poll, USA Today Poll, ESPN’s FPI &
Sagarin’s rankings which can all be used as a solid comparison tool followed by
each team’s SOS adjusted RATING and RANK:
|
UNIT RANKS RAW
|
RANKS
|
SOS ADJ #'s
|
|||||||||
|
Team
|
OFF
|
DEF
|
TOTAL
|
AP
|
USAT
|
FPI
|
SAG
|
RATING
|
RANK
|
||
|
Clemson
|
16
|
5
|
1
|
3
|
6
|
8
|
2
|
282.5
|
1
|
||
|
Alabama
|
52
|
4
|
8
|
7
|
7
|
6
|
1
|
273.6
|
2
|
||
|
Iowa
|
20
|
11
|
4
|
10
|
11
|
29
|
14
|
262.1
|
3
|
||
|
Oklahoma
|
8
|
28
|
10
|
14
|
13
|
2
|
4
|
255.6
|
4
|
||
|
Stanford
|
5
|
39
|
13
|
8
|
8
|
11
|
7
|
254.6
|
5
|
||
|
LSU
|
13
|
34
|
14
|
4
|
4
|
7
|
8
|
245.4
|
6
|
||
|
Notre Dame
|
6
|
53
|
21
|
9
|
9
|
9
|
9
|
243.8
|
7
|
||
|
Florida
|
57
|
17
|
24
|
11
|
12
|
13
|
11
|
240.3
|
8
|
||
|
Utah
|
42
|
34
|
33
|
13
|
14
|
21
|
16
|
238.8
|
9
|
||
|
Georgia
|
42
|
12
|
12
|
|
30
|
23
|
14
|
21
|
|
238.4
|
10
|
|
TCU
|
2
|
47
|
11
|
5
|
3
|
3
|
6
|
237.5
|
11
|
||
|
Ohio State
|
21
|
15
|
7
|
1
|
1
|
4
|
5
|
236.3
|
12
|
||
|
USC
|
21
|
53
|
35
|
28
|
32
|
5
|
10
|
234.1
|
13
|
||
|
Pittsburgh
|
49
|
17
|
18
|
23
|
24
|
41
|
33
|
233.9
|
14
|
||
|
Boise State
|
42
|
3
|
5
|
37
|
30
|
30
|
232.8
|
15
|
|||
|
Arkansas
|
11
|
71
|
38
|
27
|
37
|
232.7
|
16
|
||||
|
Oklahoma State
|
30
|
14
|
8
|
12
|
10
|
19
|
15
|
229.4
|
17
|
||
|
BYU
|
37
|
27
|
24
|
29
|
34
|
48
|
36
|
228.7
|
18
|
||
|
Mississippi
|
21
|
34
|
19
|
19
|
21
|
10
|
13
|
228.0
|
19
|
||
|
West Virginia
|
21
|
56
|
36
|
23
|
28
|
226.6
|
20
|
||||
|
Michigan
|
92
|
2
|
31
|
15
|
17
|
15
|
12
|
225.3
|
21
|
||
|
California
|
27
|
58
|
39
|
34
|
30
|
25
|
27
|
223.8
|
22
|
||
|
Florida State
|
30
|
29
|
19
|
17
|
15
|
17
|
17
|
223.7
|
23
|
||
|
Wisconsin
|
61
|
7
|
15
|
29
|
28
|
19
|
222.4
|
24
|
|||
|
Tennessee
|
45
|
59
|
50
|
|
|
|
12
|
22
|
|
221.8
|
25
|
Breakdown of Top
25 by conference:
|
AAC
|
0
|
|
ACC
|
3
|
|
B10
|
4
|
|
B12
|
4
|
|
CUSA
|
0
|
|
IND
|
2
|
|
MAC
|
0
|
|
MWC
|
1
|
|
P12
|
4
|
|
SEC
|
7
|
|
SUN
|
0
|
Here are
additional teams of note that did not make the SBPI Top 25 but were ranked
inside the Top 25 of at least one of the other four sources I use for
comparative purposes:
#28 Mississippi State (#25 AP, #20 FPI, #20 SAG)
#29 Michigan State (#6 AP, #5 USAT, #22 FPI, #18 SAG)
#30 Houston (#18 AP, #19 USAT)
#31 Duke (#22 AP, #18 USAT)
#32 Memphis (#16 AP, #16 USAT)
#33 Baylor (#2 AP, #2 USAT, #1 FPI, #3 SAG)
#35 North Carolina (#24 FPI, #25 SAG)
#36 UCLA (#24 AP, #25 USAT, #18 FPI, #23 SAG)
#41 Temple (#21 AP, #22 USAT)
#44 Texas A&M (#16 FPI, #24 SAG)
#50 Toledo (#20 AP, #20 USAT)
Let’s take a look
at the relationship between SBPI & record in matrix form (currently there
is a 78% correlation between SBPI ranking & wins, UP from 77% last week):
|
Record
|
Top 25
|
Top 50
|
|
8-0
|
1
|
2
|
|
7-0
|
5
|
10
|
|
7-1
|
1
|
1
|
|
6-1
|
7
|
10
|
|
6-2
|
4
|
7
|
|
5-2
|
3
|
6
|
|
5-3
|
1
|
|
|
4-3
|
1
|
3
|
|
4-4
|
1
|
|
|
3-3
|
1
|
1
|
|
3-4
|
2
|
4
|
|
3-5
|
4
|
|
Of the Top 25 SBPI teams 6 are undefeated, 14 have at worst
one loss & just 2 are under .500 – Arkansas & Tennessee, who have
played the 4th & 2nd toughest schedules in the
country, respectively, which boosts their rating. Of the SBPI Top 50 almost half (23) of the
group has a one or zero losses. The
SBPI, and looking at it in this sort of breakdown, can add value by seeing
which teams have suffered perhaps from “bad luck” so far [playing better
football than their record indicates], or teams that may have been “lucky” this
year [rating lower on the SBPI scale than their record suggests].
Here are the five
lowest rated SBPI teams that have a winning record:
#98 Rice 4-3 (faced 113th toughest schedule)
#91 Georgia Southern (faced 110th toughest
schedule)
#90 Marshall (faced the worst schedule [128th] in
the country to date)
#84 Kentucky (faced the 35th toughest schedule)
#83 Auburn (faced the 21st toughest schedule)
Strength of each
conference taking average RATING of ALL TEAMS:
|
SEC
|
81.23
|
|
IND
|
80.77
|
|
ACC
|
79.52
|
|
P12
|
78.62
|
|
B10
|
78.10
|
|
B12
|
76.81
|
|
AAC
|
72.16
|
|
MWC
|
70.86
|
|
MAC
|
70.25
|
|
CUSA
|
66.84
|
|
SUN
|
64.51
|
Next up let’s look
at the Top 10 non-Power 5 conference teams (excluding Notre Dame):
|
RECORD
|
UNIT RANKS RAW
|
RANKS
|
SOS ADJ #'s
|
||||||||
|
WINS
|
LOSS
|
CONF
|
Team
|
OFF
|
DEF
|
TOTAL
|
SAG
|
RATING
|
RANK
|
||
|
6
|
2
|
MWC
|
Boise State
|
42
|
3
|
5
|
30
|
232.8
|
15
|
||
|
6
|
2
|
IND
|
BYU
|
37
|
27
|
24
|
36
|
228.7
|
18
|
||
|
7
|
0
|
AAC
|
Houston
|
4
|
23
|
3
|
31
|
209.6
|
30
|
||
|
7
|
0
|
AAC
|
Memphis
|
3
|
80
|
31
|
26
|
205.5
|
32
|
||
|
6
|
1
|
SB
|
Appalachian State
|
8
|
8
|
2
|
55
|
199.1
|
38
|
||
|
4
|
3
|
MWC
|
Utah State
|
98
|
13
|
45
|
58
|
198.1
|
40
|
||
|
7
|
0
|
AAC
|
Temple
|
71
|
5
|
17
|
45
|
197.4
|
41
|
||
|
5
|
3
|
MWC
|
San Diego State
|
76
|
8
|
27
|
65
|
190.6
|
45
|
||
|
4
|
3
|
AAC
|
Cincinnati
|
27
|
61
|
41
|
63
|
189.6
|
47
|
||
|
4
|
4
|
MAC
|
Central Michigan
|
52
|
47
|
44
|
82
|
186.0
|
48
|
||
Here are the
Bottom 10 teams:
|
RECORD
|
UNIT RANKS RAW
|
RANKS
|
SOS ADJ #'s
|
||||||||
|
WINS
|
LOSS
|
CONF
|
Team
|
OFF
|
DEF
|
TOTAL
|
SAG
|
RATING
|
RANK
|
||
|
2
|
4
|
SB
|
Georgia State
|
90
|
111
|
111
|
123
|
84.3
|
119
|
||
|
3
|
4
|
CUSA
|
Old Dominion
|
112
|
106
|
118
|
122
|
79.0
|
120
|
||
|
2
|
6
|
MWC
|
Fresno State
|
121
|
117
|
122
|
107
|
73.4
|
121
|
||
|
1
|
6
|
SB
|
Louisiana-Monroe
|
122
|
115
|
122
|
118
|
72.3
|
122
|
||
|
0
|
7
|
SB
|
New Mexico State
|
98
|
127
|
121
|
128
|
69.8
|
123
|
||
|
2
|
6
|
MWC
|
Hawai'i
|
128
|
91
|
124
|
105
|
69.3
|
124
|
||
|
0
|
7
|
B12
|
Kansas
|
118
|
125
|
127
|
111
|
69.1
|
125
|
||
|
0
|
7
|
CUSA
|
North Texas
|
106
|
128
|
125
|
126
|
64.6
|
126
|
||
|
1
|
7
|
MAC
|
Miami (Ohio)
|
126
|
111
|
126
|
124
|
60.7
|
127
|
||
|
0
|
8
|
AAC
|
UCF
|
127
|
109
|
128
|
113
|
55.8
|
128
|
||
Lastly here are
the Bottom 5 Power 5 conference teams:
|
UNIT RANKS RAW
|
RANKS
|
SOS ADJ #'s
|
|||||||||
|
WINS
|
LOSS
|
CONF
|
Team
|
OFF
|
DEF
|
TOTAL
|
SAG
|
RATING
|
RANK
|
||
|
2
|
5
|
B10
|
Maryland
|
109
|
97
|
113
|
75
|
117.2
|
100
|
||
|
3
|
5
|
ACC
|
Wake Forest
|
118
|
69
|
102
|
89
|
117.0
|
101
|
||
|
2
|
5
|
P12
|
Oregon State
|
110
|
89
|
110
|
86
|
115.3
|
102
|
||
|
2
|
5
|
ACC
|
Virginia
|
103
|
109
|
116
|
77
|
113.4
|
103
|
||
|
1
|
6
|
B10
|
Purdue
|
124
|
89
|
119
|
93
|
98.2
|
112
|
||
Thanks again for reading, please feel free to:
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COPYRIGHT: THE SPORTSBOSS, 2015
