Here is our third installment of the 2014-2015 College
Basketball SBPI ratings covering action through Sunday February 8 (SUM is
rating for team & can be compared to prior season’s in my Top 100 of last
12 year’s blog entry; RANK = rankings of each team’s SOS Adjusted performance; KP
= Ken Pomeroy’s Rankings; BPI = ESPN’s Basketball Power Index Rankings; RPI =
Ratings Power Index Rankings; SAG = Jeff Sagarin’s Rankings):
ADJ RATINGS
|
|||||||
Team
|
SUM
|
RANK
|
KP
|
BPI
|
RPI
|
SAG
|
|
Duke
|
412.5
|
1
|
8
|
7
|
4
|
4
|
|
Kentucky
|
408.1
|
2
|
1
|
1
|
2
|
1
|
|
Villanova
|
394.2
|
3
|
7
|
6
|
5
|
6
|
|
Arizona
|
392.5
|
4
|
3
|
5
|
7
|
7
|
|
Kansas
|
388.0
|
5
|
12
|
10
|
1
|
10
|
|
Louisville
|
385.1
|
6
|
11
|
8
|
12
|
9
|
|
Butler
|
382.9
|
7
|
18
|
19
|
17
|
18
|
|
Baylor
|
381.0
|
8
|
10
|
17
|
11
|
13
|
|
Wisconsin
|
371.5
|
9
|
6
|
4
|
6
|
3
|
|
Virginia
|
367.3
|
10
|
2
|
2
|
3
|
2
|
|
VCU
|
355.2
|
11
|
24
|
21
|
9
|
21
|
|
Utah
|
352.3
|
12
|
5
|
11
|
13
|
8
|
|
West Virginia
|
345.7
|
13
|
20
|
20
|
25
|
19
|
|
Florida
|
343.3
|
14
|
35
|
32
|
|||
Wichita State
|
341.5
|
15
|
15
|
15
|
18
|
17
|
|
Oklahoma State
|
341.5
|
16
|
21
|
33
|
28
|
22
|
|
North Carolina
|
340.8
|
17
|
13
|
9
|
10
|
12
|
|
Providence
|
339.2
|
18
|
20
|
31
|
|||
Georgetown
|
339.1
|
19
|
25
|
24
|
21
|
23
|
|
Xavier
|
336.7
|
20
|
26
|
23
|
34
|
26
|
|
Gonzaga
|
335.9
|
21
|
4
|
3
|
8
|
5
|
|
Oklahoma
|
334.1
|
22
|
9
|
13
|
15
|
11
|
|
UCLA
|
328.9
|
23
|
|||||
South Carolina
|
327.0
|
24
|
|||||
Iowa
|
325.7
|
25
|
27
|
27
|
|||
Texas
|
324.7
|
26
|
22
|
29
|
31
|
20
|
|
Ohio State
|
323.5
|
27
|
14
|
12
|
33
|
15
|
|
Arkansas
|
318.8
|
28
|
30
|
25
|
24
|
28
|
|
Iowa State
|
314.9
|
29
|
19
|
18
|
14
|
16
|
|
Brigham Young
|
313.6
|
30
|
35
|
||||
Georgia Tech
|
312.6
|
31
|
|||||
Seton Hall
|
310.6
|
32
|
|||||
Stanford
|
308.6
|
33
|
32
|
34
|
32
|
||
San Diego State
|
308.5
|
34
|
34
|
30
|
33
|
||
Yale
|
305.9
|
35
|
|||||
Arizona State
|
305.6
|
36
|
I have included the Top 36 teams in the SBPI this week &
will continue that format going forward.
Why? I figured there are 32
automatic bids & 36 at-large bids given out on Selection Sunday – so
including my Top 36 here can give a good feel for if your team has what it
takes to potentially earn an at-large come mid-March.
Here are additional teams of note that did not make the SBPI
Top 36 but were ranked inside Top 36 by at least one of the other four sources:
#37 Michigan State (KP #28, BPI #26, SAG #25)
#40 Texas A&M (BPI #36, RPI #35)
#42 Purdue (SAG #35)
#45 Georgia (KP #33, BPI #22, RPI #22, SAG #34)
#47 Indiana (RPI #32, SAG #36)
#48 Maryland (BPI #31, RPI #16, SAG #29)
#49 Ole Miss (KP #29, BPI #30, RPI #36)
#57 Dayton (BPI #28)
#67 SMU (KP #23, BPI #27, RPI #22, SAG #30)
#72 Cincinnati (KP #31, RPI #29)
#78 Northern Iowa (KP #16, BPI #14, RPI #19, SAG #24)
#80 Colorado State (RPI #27)
#93 Notre Dame (KP #17, BPI #16, RPI #26, SAG #14)
#101 Stephen F. Austin (KP #36)
Next this week is the variance report that shows team’s
movement over the last week. Today we
will show team’s that had a 40 spot or greater change in their ranking
inclusive of all conferences:
Team
|
1-Feb
|
8-Feb
|
Change
|
North Carolina Central
|
145
|
202
|
(57)
|
Fresno State
|
137
|
178
|
(41)
|
Texas Christian
|
133
|
92
|
41
|
Next up let’s take a look where each of the current Top 36
in SBPI ranked in the past four week’s we have published:
Team
|
18-Jan
|
25-Jan
|
1-Feb
|
8-Feb
|
Duke
|
5
|
5
|
1
|
1
|
Kentucky
|
1
|
1
|
2
|
2
|
Villanova
|
3
|
4
|
3
|
3
|
Arizona
|
11
|
7
|
6
|
4
|
Kansas
|
2
|
2
|
5
|
5
|
Louisville
|
12
|
12
|
8
|
6
|
Butler
|
4
|
3
|
4
|
7
|
Baylor
|
9
|
6
|
7
|
8
|
Wisconsin
|
16
|
9
|
9
|
9
|
Virginia
|
10
|
14
|
13
|
10
|
VCU
|
6
|
8
|
10
|
11
|
Utah
|
14
|
11
|
12
|
12
|
West Virginia
|
15
|
15
|
18
|
13
|
Florida
|
19
|
16
|
15
|
14
|
Wichita State
|
7
|
10
|
11
|
15
|
Oklahoma State
|
13
|
17
|
22
|
16
|
North Carolina
|
17
|
18
|
16
|
17
|
Providence
|
20
|
20
|
21
|
18
|
Georgetown
|
36
|
25
|
23
|
19
|
Xavier
|
18
|
19
|
14
|
20
|
Gonzaga
|
8
|
13
|
20
|
21
|
Oklahoma
|
26
|
22
|
17
|
22
|
UCLA
|
34
|
28
|
24
|
23
|
South Carolina
|
32
|
24
|
19
|
24
|
Iowa
|
28
|
29
|
27
|
25
|
Texas
|
35
|
36
|
26
|
26
|
Ohio State
|
27
|
35
|
32
|
27
|
Arkansas
|
30
|
31
|
25
|
28
|
Iowa State
|
31
|
34
|
33
|
29
|
Brigham Young
|
21
|
23
|
31
|
30
|
Georgia Tech
|
40
|
38
|
35
|
31
|
Seton Hall
|
29
|
37
|
29
|
32
|
Stanford
|
33
|
30
|
30
|
33
|
San Diego State
|
22
|
21
|
34
|
34
|
Yale
|
24
|
39
|
37
|
35
|
Arizona State
|
50
|
33
|
38
|
36
|
Strength of conference & breakdown of Top 36 by
conference:
RANK
|
CONFERENCE
|
AVG RATING
|
TOP 36
|
1
|
B12
|
317.5
|
7
|
2
|
BE
|
312.7
|
6
|
3
|
ACC
|
289.5
|
5
|
4
|
SEC
|
284.9
|
4
|
5
|
B10
|
284.1
|
3
|
6
|
P12
|
275.6
|
5
|
7
|
WCC
|
251.1
|
2
|
8
|
A10
|
244.1
|
1
|
9
|
MVC
|
227.7
|
1
|
10
|
HORIZON
|
218.8
|
|
11
|
AAC
|
216.2
|
|
12
|
MAC
|
215.9
|
|
13
|
MWC
|
208.6
|
1
|
14
|
BIG WEST
|
207.7
|
|
15
|
IVY
|
200.4
|
1
|
16
|
CUSA
|
189.2
|
|
17
|
OVC
|
180.9
|
|
18
|
CAA
|
177.2
|
|
19
|
SUMMIT
|
175.0
|
|
20
|
SUN BELT
|
173.9
|
|
21
|
SOCON
|
173.2
|
|
22
|
BIG SOUTH
|
171.6
|
|
23
|
PATRIOT
|
166.5
|
|
24
|
MAAC
|
164.8
|
|
25
|
SOUTHLAND
|
164.7
|
|
26
|
BIG SKY
|
163.4
|
|
27
|
NEC
|
152.3
|
|
28
|
AMER EAST
|
151.4
|
|
29
|
INDEPENDENT
|
150.0
|
|
30
|
WAC
|
147.4
|
|
31
|
ASUN
|
145.9
|
|
32
|
MEAC
|
138.9
|
|
33
|
SWAC
|
122.3
|
The Big 12 has taken over the top conference rank from the
Big East with an average rating of 317.5 for the 10 teams in their
conference. By looking at the first
matrix in this article we can see that 317.5 average rating would fall between
the 28th best team in country Arkansas & the 29th
best team in the country Iowa State.
Next up let’s look at the Top 20 non-Power 6 (ACC, B12, B10,
BE, P12, SEC) conference teams:
ADJ RATINGS
|
|||||||
Team
|
SUM
|
RANK
|
KP
|
BPI
|
RPI
|
SAG
|
|
VCU
|
355.2
|
11
|
24
|
21
|
9
|
21
|
|
Wichita State
|
341.5
|
15
|
15
|
15
|
18
|
17
|
|
Gonzaga
|
335.9
|
21
|
4
|
3
|
8
|
5
|
|
Brigham Young
|
313.6
|
30
|
35
|
||||
San Diego State
|
308.5
|
34
|
34
|
30
|
33
|
||
Yale
|
305.9
|
35
|
|||||
Illinois State
|
290.4
|
41
|
|||||
Boise State
|
276.9
|
52
|
|||||
Richmond
|
272.3
|
55
|
|||||
Dayton
|
271.4
|
57
|
28
|
||||
George Washington
|
270.0
|
60
|
|||||
Temple
|
269.0
|
61
|
|||||
Portland
|
267.4
|
62
|
|||||
Tulsa
|
266.9
|
63
|
|||||
La Salle
|
265.4
|
65
|
|||||
Buffalo
|
264.3
|
66
|
|||||
Southern Methodist
|
261.5
|
67
|
23
|
27
|
22
|
30
|
|
Saint Mary's
|
261.2
|
69
|
|||||
Harvard
|
260.0
|
71
|
|||||
Cincinnati
|
259.4
|
72
|
31
|
29
|
Examining this group closer as far as NCAA Tournament
at-large bids go it’s unlikely any teams outside the Top 3 (VCU, Wichita State,
and Gonzaga) would earn an at-large bid should they lose in their conference
tournament – especially if that loss came before the championship game. San Diego State, ranked 4th in
this matrix, still has a shot at earning that at-large should they lose in the
MWC Tournament, but this is not a vintage Aztecs club of recent memory.
Lastly here are the Bottom 10 teams according to College Basketball
SBPI:
ADJ RATINGS
|
||
Team
|
SUM
|
RANK
|
Maine
|
102.6
|
342
|
Liberty
|
102.4
|
343
|
UMBC
|
96.2
|
344
|
Stetson
|
93.1
|
345
|
Kennesaw State
|
91.3
|
346
|
Mississippi Valley State
|
86.4
|
347
|
Grambling State
|
84.2
|
348
|
Central Connecticut State
|
79.8
|
349
|
Central Arkansas
|
67.7
|
350
|
Florida A&M
|
63.5
|
351
|
Thanks again for reading, please feel free to:
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COPYRIGHT: THE SPORTSBOSS, 2015
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