For the FIRST TIME ever, after slightly more than ONE YEAR
of tweaking we are publishing our College Football SBPI (SportsBoss Power
Index)! Similar to the College
Basketball SBPI that we started posting about last season (and keep an eye here
during the month of October as we will be posting TONS of entries on this
topic), the College Football version is a comprehensive study of the most
critical statistical categories where we grade each team’s performance in each
area game by game, and adjust for SOS to provide us with our power
ratings. This index has been back-tested
10+ seasons, just like the College Basketball SBPI, and provides EXCELLENT
insight into the TRUE STRENGTH of each team in the country – removing the bias
we see all too often in the mainstream media.
In our initial installment today we will post the Top 50
teams in the country – in future editions we will drop down to the Top 20. Without further ado here are the rankings
through action on Saturday October 4th – we will also include the AP
Poll, USA Today Poll, ESPN’s FPI & Sagarin’s rankings which can all be used
as a solid comparison tool:
UNIT RANKS RAW
|
RANKS
|
SOS ADJ #'s
|
|||||||||
Team
|
OFF
|
DEF
|
TOTAL
|
AP
|
USAT
|
FPI
|
SAG
|
RATING
|
RANK
|
||
Auburn
|
1
|
6
|
2
|
2
|
2
|
1
|
1
|
312.7
|
1
|
||
Alabama
|
4
|
15
|
4
|
7
|
7
|
2
|
2
|
297.5
|
2
|
||
Baylor
|
2
|
2
|
1
|
5
|
3
|
7
|
5
|
267.7
|
3
|
||
Clemson
|
21
|
13
|
8
|
25
|
13
|
18
|
265.5
|
4
|
|||
Michigan State
|
2
|
9
|
3
|
8
|
8
|
21
|
14
|
264.6
|
5
|
||
Mississippi
|
31
|
8
|
9
|
3
|
4
|
6
|
3
|
258.3
|
6
|
||
TCU
|
16
|
3
|
5
|
9
|
12
|
18
|
7
|
257.4
|
7
|
||
Notre Dame
|
27
|
6
|
7
|
6
|
5
|
15
|
9
|
254.1
|
8
|
||
Mississippi State
|
6
|
31
|
10
|
3
|
6
|
10
|
8
|
250.1
|
9
|
||
Oklahoma
|
40
|
28
|
21
|
11
|
9
|
3
|
2
|
248.5
|
10
|
||
USC
|
16
|
46
|
18
|
14
|
19
|
243.4
|
11
|
||||
Ohio State
|
8
|
32
|
11
|
15
|
15
|
11
|
17
|
243.3
|
12
|
||
West Virginia
|
37
|
37
|
28
|
30
|
237.2
|
13
|
|||||
Nebraska
|
27
|
19
|
12
|
21
|
21
|
23
|
235.6
|
14
|
|||
Memphis
|
42
|
29
|
24
|
36
|
235.1
|
15
|
|||||
Stanford
|
77
|
4
|
27
|
25
|
22
|
17
|
15
|
231.1
|
16
|
||
LSU
|
40
|
26
|
18
|
16
|
16
|
230.7
|
17
|
||||
Louisville
|
63
|
1
|
12
|
25
|
230.1
|
18
|
|||||
Georgia
|
27
|
39
|
21
|
13
|
10
|
8
|
10
|
229.6
|
19
|
||
Virginia
|
65
|
12
|
29
|
48
|
225.1
|
20
|
|||||
Missouri
|
50
|
29
|
30
|
23
|
24
|
27
|
223.7
|
21
|
|||
Pittsburgh
|
55
|
13
|
14
|
57
|
222.8
|
22
|
|||||
Texas A&M
|
15
|
65
|
31
|
14
|
14
|
5
|
6
|
218.8
|
23
|
||
Kansas State
|
23
|
42
|
18
|
17
|
16
|
21
|
214.4
|
24
|
|||
Virginia Tech
|
71
|
16
|
32
|
34
|
213.5
|
25
|
|||||
Arkansas
|
6
|
86
|
43
|
19
|
22
|
212.8
|
27
|
||||
Iowa
|
64
|
11
|
24
|
49
|
212.9
|
26
|
|||||
Wisconsin
|
59
|
9
|
16
|
24
|
24
|
210.9
|
28
|
||||
UCLA
|
34
|
80
|
54
|
18
|
17
|
9
|
12
|
210.9
|
29
|
||
Oregon
|
9
|
79
|
34
|
12
|
11
|
12
|
11
|
208.1
|
30
|
||
Florida
|
73
|
44
|
52
|
20
|
20
|
207.1
|
31
|
||||
Marshall
|
4
|
20
|
6
|
37
|
206.6
|
32
|
|||||
Boise State
|
52
|
39
|
33
|
54
|
206.6
|
33
|
|||||
East Carolina
|
16
|
51
|
23
|
19
|
19
|
42
|
205.3
|
34
|
|||
Tennessee
|
103
|
25
|
64
|
28
|
205.3
|
35
|
|||||
Miami (Florida)
|
77
|
35
|
50
|
50
|
203.0
|
36
|
|||||
Kentucky
|
31
|
32
|
16
|
40
|
202.0
|
38
|
|||||
Utah State
|
82
|
22
|
41
|
66
|
202.7
|
37
|
|||||
Georgia Southern
|
27
|
70
|
41
|
73
|
198.5
|
39
|
|||||
Georgia Tech
|
12
|
73
|
36
|
22
|
23
|
44
|
195.7
|
40
|
|||
Penn State
|
98
|
5
|
38
|
45
|
195.0
|
41
|
|||||
Utah
|
50
|
59
|
45
|
23
|
22
|
26
|
193.7
|
42
|
|||
Arizona
|
12
|
82
|
46
|
10
|
13
|
23
|
31
|
193.2
|
43
|
||
Air Force
|
10
|
47
|
15
|
94
|
191.7
|
44
|
|||||
Northern Illinois
|
21
|
51
|
24
|
72
|
188.2
|
45
|
|||||
Oregon State
|
87
|
21
|
44
|
55
|
183.3
|
46
|
|||||
South Carolina
|
37
|
102
|
82
|
25
|
35
|
183.2
|
47
|
||||
Oklahoma State
|
59
|
51
|
49
|
16
|
18
|
29
|
182.6
|
48
|
|||
Indiana
|
42
|
75
|
52
|
58
|
182.3
|
49
|
|||||
Rutgers
|
42
|
59
|
40
|
74
|
181.2
|
50
|
|||||
Breakdown of Top 50 by conference:
AAC
|
2
|
|
ACC
|
7
|
|
B10
|
8
|
|
B12
|
6
|
|
CUSA
|
1
|
|
IND
|
1
|
ND
|
MAC
|
1
|
|
MWC
|
3
|
|
P12
|
7
|
|
SEC
|
13
|
|
SUN
|
1
|
Strength of each conference taking average ranking of ALL
TEAMS:
|
SEC
|
28.57
|
|
B12
|
44.40
|
|
P12
|
45.00
|
|
B10
|
48.00
|
|
ACC
|
49.43
|
|
IND
|
64.50
|
|
MWC
|
78.33
|
|
CUSA
|
84.38
|
|
AAC
|
88.00
|
|
MAC
|
91.92
|
|
SUN
|
95.45
|
Few items of note:
- These numbers above in no way represent Power Ratings that can be used to project spreads – those power ratings use this matrix as a guide, but they ultimately fit into another scale which will remain for my eyes only
- Here are the teams that are NOT in my Top 50 currently but ARE inside the Top 25 of at least one of the comparison indices I show above:
- Florida State: check in at #56 just outside my Top 50; they would certainly be inside the Top 50 had QB Jameis Winston played in the Clemson game HOWEVER they certainly have not looked great in any game so far this season with the lone exception perhaps last week vs. Wake Forest. Make no mistake there is plenty of action left for the Seminoles to climb the ratings
- Arizona State: ranked #57 in SBPI but check in at #20 in both polls. Keep in mind they have not had star QB Taylor Kelly under center for their last two games, although their backup has played pretty well including leading the Sun Devils to a road win at USC last Saturday
Next up let’s look at the Top 10 non-Power 5 conference
teams:
UNIT RANKS RAW
|
RANKS
|
SOS ADJ #'s
|
|||||||||
Team
|
OFF
|
DEF
|
TOTAL
|
AP
|
USAT
|
FPI
|
SAG
|
RATING
|
RANK
|
||
Memphis
|
42
|
29
|
24
|
36
|
235.1
|
15
|
|||||
Marshall
|
4
|
20
|
6
|
37
|
206.6
|
32
|
|||||
Boise State
|
52
|
39
|
33
|
54
|
206.6
|
33
|
|||||
East Carolina
|
16
|
51
|
23
|
19
|
19
|
42
|
205.3
|
34
|
|||
Utah State
|
82
|
22
|
41
|
66
|
202.7
|
37
|
|||||
Georgia Southern
|
27
|
70
|
41
|
73
|
198.5
|
39
|
|||||
Air Force
|
10
|
47
|
15
|
94
|
191.7
|
44
|
|||||
Northern Illinois
|
21
|
51
|
24
|
72
|
188.2
|
45
|
|||||
BYU
|
65
|
57
|
58
|
32
|
177.0
|
54
|
|||||
Louisiana Tech
|
74
|
58
|
64
|
61
|
175.1
|
55
|
|||||
Amazing thus far that the Memphis Tigers lead the non-Power
5 conference rankings – did anyone have that?!?
They are also the only non-Power 5 conference school ranked inside the
Top 31 in the country. We then see a few
of the bigger name mid-major squads many expected to be strong this season
checking in between #30 and #40. One
item of note is two teams on this list have lost their starting QB: Utah
State’s Chuckie Keaton is out for the season, much like last year although his
backup Garretson played a lot last year & is a much better passer while BYU
lost their best player, staringt QB Taysom Hill last week in the Cougars home
loss to the aforementioned Aggies.
Lastly here are the Bottom 10 teams according to College
Football SBPI:
UNIT RANKS RAW
|
RANKS
|
SOS ADJ #'s
|
|||||||||
Team
|
OFF
|
DEF
|
TOTAL
|
AP
|
USAT
|
FPI
|
SAG
|
RATING
|
RANK
|
||
Georgia State
|
69
|
126
|
110
|
178
|
92.8
|
119
|
|||||
South Florida
|
122
|
82
|
120
|
121
|
90.0
|
120
|
|||||
Tulsa
|
100
|
118
|
121
|
156
|
85.5
|
121
|
|||||
Troy
|
112
|
121
|
122
|
180
|
77.2
|
122
|
|||||
Southern Mississippi
|
116
|
118
|
123
|
149
|
74.3
|
123
|
|||||
Vanderbilt
|
127
|
107
|
125
|
117
|
69.2
|
124
|
|||||
UNLV
|
121
|
118
|
124
|
181
|
61.5
|
125
|
|||||
Kent State
|
124
|
123
|
126
|
163
|
55.8
|
126
|
|||||
Eastern Michigan
|
123
|
126
|
127
|
204
|
50.5
|
127
|
|||||
SMU
|
125
|
128
|
128
|
153
|
46.3
|
128
|
|||||
Vanderbilt is the only Power 5 conference team to show up
amongst the worst 10 teams in the country, checking in at #124. SMU & Eastern Michigan are the two lowest
rated teams which probably comes as no surprise to most college football
fans. Kent State is 3rd worst
but keep in mind they have lost their top 2 QBs and could/are likely to fall
into the mix with EMU & SMU for worst team in the country this season.
That is our initial installment of the College Football
SBPI. We will likely continue posting
this article on a weekly basis, targeting Wednesday’s.
As always if anyone has questions or comments please reach
out to me via Twitter or email.
Thanks again for reading, please feel free to:
Email me directly: boss@thesportsboss.com
Visit my website: www.thesportsboss.com
Follow me on Twitter: @SportsBoss
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