Friday, December 16, 2011

NFL Update after Week 14


Each team has three games left in the 2011 season – and here is what we know as far as the playoffs goes:
·         NFC: GB is likely to lock up home-field advantage this week if they win @ KC.  SF & NO have locked in playoff berths and are competing for the #2 seed and a bye in the Wild Card round.  ATL looks solid for a WC following their win last night vs. JAC.  The NFC East is still wide open following the NYG stirring comeback over DAL on SNF last week.
·         AFC: HOU is the only team to clinch a playoff berth.  BAL, PIT & NE will seal playoff spots in the next week or two.  The AFC West is still up for debate, as is the final WC spot.

There was only 1 change to teams making the playoffs as ATL stepped into the #6 seed in the NFC following their win over CAR, and CHI’s tough loss in DEN.  Keep in mind the standings below do not include last night’s game. 

Seeding wise there were a few changes: HOU & BAL flip-flopped spots with the Texans taking over the top seed in the AFC.  Schedule wise it appears HOU will take care of business and indeed lock in the #1 spot, but that is still to be determined.  In the NFC NO & SF changed spots after SF lost to ARI.  Schedule wise here I also expect that will be the way the season ends, with NO getting that coveted #2 seed.

These projections are solely based on projected wins, and do not take into consideration tie-breakers (other than BAL/PIT) which will obviously occur especially when we are talking < 1 win variance within these projections.

Here are the latest projected standings:

AFC East
Wins
Loss

NFC East
Wins
Loss
NE
12
4

DAL
9
7
NYJ
10
6

NYG
9
8
BUF
6
10

PHI
7
9
MIA
5
11

WAS
5
11







AFC North



NFC North


BAL
12
4

GB
15
1
PIT
12
4

DET
9
7
CIN
9
7

CHI
8
8
CLE
5
11

MIN
4
12







AFC South



NFC South


HOU
12
4

NO
12
4
TEN
9
7

ATL
9
7
JAC
6
10

CAR
5
11
IND
1
15

TB
5
11







AFC West



NFC West


DEN
10
6

SF
12
4
OAK
9
7

ARI
8
8
SD
7
9

SEA
7
9
KC
6
10

STL
3
13







Playoffs



Playoffs


#6 NYJ @ #3 NE


#6 ATL @ #3 SF

#5 PIT @ #4 DEN


#5 DET @ #4 DAL








#1 HOU



#1 GB


#2 BAL



#2 NO


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