NFL Update After
Week 13
Each team
has four games left in the 2011 season – aside from what was mentioned in last
week’s story; nothing else was locked in following last week’s games.
There was
only 1 change to teams making the playoffs and that is the NY Jets are now
projected to be the #6 seed in the AFC following their win at Washington,
overtaking the Cincinnati Bengals who were pasted in Pittsburgh.
Seeding wise
there were a few changes: BAL, who was trailing PIT by 0.27 projected wins as
of last week has now surpassed PIT and has a 0.03 projected wins edge, giving
them the #1 seed. Keep in mind, which I
should have last week, BAL has the tie-breaker over PIT following their season
sweep of the series so with that in mind BAL has a bigger projected wins gap
then what the pure numbers show. In the
NFC we saw a small change with DET & CHI flip-flopping spots with DET now
at #5 while CHI slips to #6 – most of that move was based on me downgrading the
Bears a notch following last week’s debacle, and how I project them to play
with Caleb Hanie now under center.
These
projections are solely based on projected wins, and do not take into
consideration tie-breakers which will obviously occur especially when we are
talking < 1 win variance within these projections.
Here are the latest projected standings:
AFC East
|
Wins
|
Loss
|
NFC East
|
Wins
|
Loss
|
|
NE
|
11
|
5
|
DAL
|
9
|
7
|
|
NYJ
|
9
|
7
|
NYG
|
8
|
8
|
|
BUF
|
7
|
9
|
PHI
|
6
|
10
|
|
MIA
|
6
|
10
|
WAS
|
6
|
10
|
|
|
|
|||||
AFC North
|
NFC North
|
|
||||
BAL
|
12
|
4
|
GB
|
15
|
1
|
|
PIT
|
12
|
4
|
DET
|
9
|
7
|
|
CIN
|
9
|
7
|
CHI
|
9
|
7
|
|
CLE
|
5
|
11
|
MIN
|
5
|
11
|
|
|
|
|||||
AFC South
|
NFC South
|
|
||||
HOU
|
12
|
4
|
NO
|
12
|
4
|
|
TEN
|
9
|
7
|
ATL
|
8
|
8
|
|
JAC
|
5
|
11
|
CAR
|
6
|
10
|
|
IND
|
1
|
15
|
TB
|
5
|
11
|
|
|
|
|||||
AFC West
|
NFC West
|
|
||||
DEN
|
10
|
6
|
SF
|
12
|
4
|
|
OAK
|
8
|
8
|
SEA
|
7
|
9
|
|
SD
|
7
|
9
|
ARI
|
7
|
9
|
|
KC
|
6
|
10
|
STL
|
3
|
13
|
|
|
|
|||||
Playoffs
|
Playoffs
|
|
||||
#6 NYJ @ #3 NE
|
#6 CHI @ #3 NO
|
|
||||
#5 PIT @ #4 DEN
|
#5 DET @ #4 DAL
|
|
||||
|
|
|||||
#1 BAL
|
#1 GB
|
|
||||
#2 HOU
|
|
|
|
#2 SF
|
|
|
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