Monday, November 3, 2014

NCAAB: Top Teams in SBPI [SportsBoss Power Index] over Last 12 Seasons #50 to #26

Countdown continued:



#50: 2007 Ohio State 388.4 [35-4] – this Buckeyes team was SBPI #3 in the 2007 season and went on to reach the championship game before the Florida Gators capped off their back to back titles beating OSU.  Florida that season was just #9 in SBPI, and considering the Gators were going for back to back championships it was surprising for certain that UF won that championship game by 9 points.

#49: 2014 Wisconsin 388.9 [30-8] – the Badgers appear a lot on the list of Top 100 teams of the last 12 years which may surprise some folks – but check out these SBPI rankings starting in 2003 thru last season: 8, 2, 8, 10, 63, 10, 22, 16, 14, 15, 7, 5. The Badgers have only one bad season over 12 years which is why Bo Ryan continues to be one of the best coaches in America.  Back to this team, they were SBPI #5, suggesting a #2 seed and a contender for the Final Four according to SBPI; they wound up earning that #2 seed & reaching the Final Four before losing to SBPI #8 Kentucky by just 1 point.

#48: 2012 Michigan State 389.0 [29-8] – the 2012 Spartans were SBPI #4 & did earn the #1 seed we projected they earned.  However, they lost in the Sweet 16 to #4 seed / SBPI #12 Louisville by 13 points in a surprising outcome, especially when taking into account the margin of victory.  That Louisville team went on to the Final Four before falling to SBPI #2 Kentucky, who went on to win the national title.

#47: 2009 Louisville 389.8 [31-6] – Ville was SBPI #7 in 2009 but earned a #1 seed rightfully so by winning not only the Big East regular season but also the Big East Tournament.  In a reversal of fortunes to the above game they would go on to face SBPI #3 Michigan State in the Elite 8 & dropped a 12 point decision.  The SBPI higher rated team (MSU) won the game & they would go on to lose versus SBPI #4 North Carolina in the championship game.

#46: 2005 Illinois 390.0 [37-2] – this Illini team, led by the dynamic backcourt of Dee Brown & Deron Williams, was their 2nd best over the last 12 years according to SBPI (#6 in ’05 vs. #5 in ’06).  They reached the national championship game before falling to SBPI #1 North Carolina by 5 points.  After finishing in the SBPI Top 13 each year from ’04-’07 the program has fallen on hard times just once finishing inside the SBPI Top 30 over the last 7 seasons (#14 in ’13).

#45: 2012 Kansas 390.0 [32-7] – this is the 3rd best Kansas team of the last 12 seasons, and all 3 have AT LEAST reached the national championship game (1-2 in championship games with only win coming with their best team [2008] – see below).  These Jayhawks were SBPI #3 & lost to SBPI #2 Kentucky in the championship game.

#44: 2013 Duke 390.4 [30-6] – this version of the Blue Devils were SBPI #3 but earned a #2 seed in the tournament.  They went on to reach the Elite 8 before falling to #1 seed / SBPI #1 Louisville by 22 points; as mentioned above that Pitino team went on to win the championship the following week.

#43: 2009 UCLA 391.8 [26-9] – this was clearly the last solid UCLA team checking in at SBPI #6 (from ’06 to ’09 they were SBPI ranked 6, 1, 1, 6) but received an extremely low seed & tough draw which led to an early dismissal.  In the five seasons since UCLA has been ranked by the SBPI (starting in 2010) 135, 64, 47, 51 & 21 last season.  Despite the SBPI #6 they only received a #6 SEED for the NCAA Tournament AND they were forced to play SBPI #8 Villanova (#3 seed) on their home court – talk about getting jobbed.  They won their opener but really got beat up against Villanova falling by 20 points.

#42: 2003 Arizona 391.9 [28-4] – this is Arizona’s second best team over the last 12 seasons (2014 was their best) as they checked in at SBPI #4 & rightfully so earned a #1 seed in the tournament.  They would go on to reach the Elite 8 before falling to SBPI #2 Kansas by just 3 points.  Kansas was a #2 seed, perhaps a line low according to SBPI, but when you reach the Elite 8 you have to expect to face great teams, and Arizona was just narrowly outdone this time out.  Lute Olson would go on to reach one more Elite 8 in 2005 before stepping down following the 2007 season.

#41: 2005 Michigan State 392.2 [26-7] – this Tom Izzo team was SBPI #5 yet only earned a #5 seed in the NCAA Tournament, suggesting a bullish run was possible.  Sparty did not disappoint as they reached the Final Four that season before falling to SBPI #1 North Carolina in the semifinal round; UNC would go on to win the title 2 nights later over Illinois.

#40: 2012 Kentucky 393.0 [38-2] – this version of Big Blue was SBPI #2, earned a #1 seed and went on to win the national title over SBPI #3 Kansas.  The 2012 season saw the Top 3 teams in SBPI reach the Final Four, with SBPI #12 Louisville rounding out the group.  It also saw 5 of the top 6 & 6 of the top 8 in SBPI reach at least the Elite 8.

#39: 2011 Pittsburgh 393.0 [28-6] – this version of the Panthers checked in at SBPI #5 & on the heels of a Big East Regular Season Championship earned a #1 seed in the NCAA Tournament.  Once again the Panthers would bow out early, this time in the 2nd round to the Butler Bulldogs, who as a #8 seed were in line with their SBPI #29.  While this was another early flame-out for Pitt they did lose to a Butler team that would go on to their 2nd straight appearance in the national championship game only to lose once again, this time to UConn.

#38: 2011 Kentucky 393.1 [29-9] – UK was SBPI #4 in 2011 yet only earned a #4 seed, once again suggesting this was a team to watch for a potential deep run in the NCAA’s.  They did not disappoint reaching the Final Four where they fell to SBPI #10 UConn, who would go on to win their 3rd national title under Jim Calhoun.

#37: 2008 West Virginia 394.2 [26-11] – this was the 3rd best WVU team over the last 12 seasons & started an impressive SBPI run by the Mountaineers since Bob Huggins took over in 2007.  Their SBPI starting in 2008 thru 2012 (5 seasons) were in order: 6, 2, 2, 9, 7. This West Virginia team was SBPI #6 yet managed to only received a #7 seed from the committee which was surprising on many levels – not only the SBPI but WVU finished the Big East regular season in the 5th spot & reached the Big East Tournament semifinals before bowing out to #1 seed Georgetown.  They would reach the Sweet 16 before falling by 4 points to #4 seed Xavier that was SBPI #17.

#36: 2009 Pittsburgh 396.5 [31-5] – this Panthers team finally performed well in the NCAA Tournament as a #1 seed, in line with their SBPI #5.  They would go on to reach the Elite 8 versus Big East rival Villanova (SBPI #8) before dropping a 2 point decision on Scottie Reynolds’ driving floater with no time left on the clock, capping one of the best Regional Final games we have seen in the last decade plus.

#35: 2014 Louisville 396.9 [31-6] – the Cardinals of 2014 checked in at SBPI #4 yet only earned a #4 seed.  They would advance to the Sweet 16 where they faced in-state rival Kentucky and the youngsters from UK, ranked SBPI #8 yet only seeded #8 beat Louisville for the 2nd time that season.  Both of these teams were woefully under seeded as Kentucky went on to reach the national championship game as a #8 seed only to fall to UConn in the title game.

#34: 2005 Oklahoma State 398.3 [28-8] – the Cowboys of ’03, ’04 & ’05 finished the SBPI ranking 26, 6, 4 respectively but have yet to secure a finish higher than SBPI #26 over the last 9 seasons.  The Boys reached the Sweet 16 before falling to SBPI #18 Arizona by 1 point.  Arizona would go on to blow that monster lead late in their Elite 8 game vs. Illinois, matching the deepest Arizona went under Lute Olson since his 2001 team lost in the title game to Duke.

#33: 2008 North Carolina 398.6 [36-3] – this season saw 4 of the top 5 SBPI teams reach the Final Four including UNC, who checked in at SBPI #5 (lone outlier was SBPI #3 Duke).  The Tar Heels of ’08 earned a #1 seed and lost in the semifinals to eventual champion SBPI #2 Kansas, losing to the better team according to SBPI.

#32: 2014 Tennessee 400.3 [24-13] – on one hand these Vols seem an outlier of sorts since they tied #99 Arizona for the most losses by any team in the Top 100; on the other hand they won their first three games of the NCAA Tournament by double digits beating Iowa by 13 in the “play in game”, taking care of #6 seed UMass by 19 in the first round followed by a 20 point hammering of Mercer in the 2nd round.  Having reached the Sweet 16 they would face SBPI #16 Michigan, who was a #2 seed coming off losing in the national championship game of 2013.  This game would come down to the wire with the Wolverines winning by 2 points, but the Vols covered the number just as the SBPI suggested they would.

#31: 2003 Oklahoma 404.5 [27-7] – the Sooners only Top 10 SBPI season was ’03 where they checked in at #3 under Kelvin Sampson (they did finish in the Top 33 each season from ’04 to ’09 (including another Elite 8 appearance in 2009) but since have yet to post a Top 25 finish although they have improved in each of the last four seasons topping out last year at #26).  This team earned a #1 seed rightfully so and advanced to the Elite 8 before falling to #3 seed / SBPI #14 Syracuse by 16 points.  That 2003 Syracuse team would go on to win the national title.

#30: 2010 Kansas 405.2 [33-3] – these Jayhawks checked in at SBPI #4, rightfully seeded on the #1 line.  However, they did not see the “juggernaut” that Northern Iowa was, falling in the 2nd round to the #9 seed / SBPI #45 (this was UNI’s 2nd best team of the L12 years according to SBPI; the best was the 2006 version [’10 rating was 306.1 vs. ’06 rating was 306.4] who earned an at-large, was a 10 seed, and fell to Georgetown in the first round by just 5 points).  UNI lost to Michigan State in the Sweet 16 who would go on to reach the Final Four.  That Jayhawks team lost before the Sweet 16 for only the 2nd time in the last 8 years (other time being last season to Stanford).

#29: 2005 Duke 406.3 [29-7] – the Blue Devils were SBPI #3 for the 2005 season earning a #1 seed in the process.  They would advance to the Sweet 16 where they would fall to SBPI #5 Michigan State in a highly entertaining game that had a 2 point margin late before MSU scored the final 10 points.  That was too early a matchup of these heavyweights who both ranked inside the SBPI Top 5.

#28: 2011 Duke 407.6 [32-5] – just like team directly above them this Duke team was SBPI #3 & earned a #1 seed in the NCAA Tournament.  But this time although they earned that #1 seed they were shipped to the Anaheim regional and lost in the Sweet 16 to SBPI #26 Arizona in a largely ‘Zona red atmosphere.  Arizona would go on to lose a 2pt game to UConn in the Elite 8; the Huskies went on to win the national title.

#27: 2014 Arizona 407.7 [33-5] – the ’14 Wildcats were nip & tuck with the Florida Gators for the SBPI #1 spot all season, settling in at #2 eventually following a late season swoon of sorts.  They were rightfully awarded the #1 seed and reached the Elite 8 before falling to SBPI #5 Wisconsin by 1 point.  Keep in mind this team lost one of its key pieces in Brandon Ashley early in the conference season, or who knows how far they could have gone.

#26: 2008 Memphis 407.9 [38-2] – the John Calipari & Derrick Rose led ’08 Memphis team is the highest finish for any non-power conference team as that season they were SBPI #4, rightfully earning a #1 seed; they were also the first team from a non-power conference since 1998 Utah to reach the championship game, where they faced SBPI #2 Kansas.  Many of us will remember this one since it was one of the most exciting championship games in recent memory as the Tigers blew a late lead and Kansas was able to win the title in OT.  This team will also be remembered for having all their wins removed from NCAA records following the investigation into the eligibility of star PG Derrick Rose.  Rose would bolt for the NBA & John Calipari would hang around for just one more season before leaving to coach Kentucky.

The Top 25 will be released early next week.


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