As we head into the final month of the MLB season here are
the top players in my Runs Created model through yesterday 9/3:
|
Player
|
Tm
|
Lg
|
RC/GM
|
|
Troy Tulowitzki
|
COL
|
NL
|
0.91
|
|
Jose Abreu
|
CHW
|
AL
|
0.89
|
|
Victor Martinez
|
DET
|
AL
|
0.87
|
|
Giancarlo Stanton
|
MIA
|
NL
|
0.84
|
|
Mike Trout
|
LAA
|
AL
|
0.82
|
|
Andrew McCutchen
|
PIT
|
NL
|
0.81
|
|
Paul Goldschmidt
|
ARI
|
NL
|
0.80
|
|
Jose Bautista
|
TOR
|
AL
|
0.75
|
|
Edwin Encarnacion
|
TOR
|
AL
|
0.73
|
|
Anthony Rizzo
|
CHC
|
NL
|
0.73
|
|
Michael Brantley
|
CLE
|
AL
|
0.73
|
|
Jose Altuve
|
HOU
|
AL
|
0.72
|
|
Miguel Cabrera
|
DET
|
AL
|
0.72
|
|
J.D. Martinez
|
DET
|
AL
|
0.71
|
|
Adrian Beltre
|
TEX
|
AL
|
0.71
|
|
Yasiel Puig
|
LAD
|
NL
|
0.70
|
|
Freddie Freeman
|
ATL
|
NL
|
0.69
|
|
Hunter Pence
|
SFG
|
NL
|
0.69
|
|
Justin Upton
|
ATL
|
NL
|
0.69
|
|
Robinson Cano
|
SEA
|
AL
|
0.69
|
|
Melky Cabrera
|
TOR
|
AL
|
0.68
|
|
Corey Dickerson
|
COL
|
NL
|
0.68
|
|
David Ortiz
|
BOS
|
AL
|
0.67
|
|
Danny Santana
|
MIN
|
AL
|
0.67
|
|
Jonathan Lucroy
|
MIL
|
NL
|
0.67
|
|
Carlos Gomez
|
MIL
|
NL
|
0.67
|
|
A.J. Pollock
|
ARI
|
NL
|
0.66
|
|
Devin Mesoraco
|
CIN
|
NL
|
0.66
|
|
Buster Posey
|
SFG
|
NL
|
0.65
|
|
Nolan Arenado
|
COL
|
NL
|
0.65
|
|
Justin Morneau
|
COL
|
NL
|
0.65
|
|
Anthony Rendon
|
WSN
|
NL
|
0.64
|
|
Christian Yelich
|
MIA
|
NL
|
0.64
|
|
Nelson Cruz
|
BAL
|
AL
|
0.64
|
|
Jayson Werth
|
WSN
|
NL
|
0.64
|
|
Steve Pearce
|
BAL
|
AL
|
0.63
|
|
Ryan Braun
|
MIL
|
NL
|
0.63
|
|
Josh Donaldson
|
OAK
|
AL
|
0.62
|
|
Albert Pujols
|
LAA
|
AL
|
0.62
|
|
Josh Harrison
|
PIT
|
NL
|
0.62
|
|
Adam Eaton
|
CHW
|
AL
|
0.62
|
|
Daniel Murphy
|
NYM
|
NL
|
0.61
|
|
Denard Span
|
WSN
|
NL
|
0.61
|
|
Adam Jones
|
BAL
|
AL
|
0.61
|
|
Kyle Seager
|
SEA
|
AL
|
0.60
|
|
George Springer
|
HOU
|
AL
|
0.60
|
|
Alex Gordon
|
KCR
|
AL
|
0.60
|
|
Todd Frazier
|
CIN
|
NL
|
0.60
|
|
Matt Kemp
|
LAD
|
NL
|
0.59
|
|
Russell Martin
|
PIT
|
NL
|
0.59
|
|
Aramis Ramirez
|
MIL
|
NL
|
0.59
|
|
Ryan Zimmerman
|
WSN
|
NL
|
0.59
|
|
Adrian Gonzalez
|
LAD
|
NL
|
0.59
|
|
Dexter Fowler
|
HOU
|
AL
|
0.59
|
|
Matt Holliday
|
STL
|
NL
|
0.59
|
|
Starlin Castro
|
CHC
|
NL
|
0.59
|
|
Seth Smith
|
SDP
|
NL
|
0.59
|
|
Evan Gattis
|
ATL
|
NL
|
0.59
|
|
Kole Calhoun
|
LAA
|
AL
|
0.58
|
|
Jacoby Ellsbury
|
NYY
|
AL
|
0.58
|
|
Jose Reyes
|
TOR
|
AL
|
0.58
|
|
Chase Utley
|
PHI
|
NL
|
0.57
|
|
Neil Walker
|
PIT
|
NL
|
0.57
|
|
Joey Votto
|
CIN
|
NL
|
0.57
|
|
Brett Gardner
|
NYY
|
AL
|
0.57
|
|
David Peralta
|
ARI
|
NL
|
0.57
|
|
Yoenis Cespedes
|
TOT
|
AL
|
0.57
|
|
Charlie Blackmon
|
COL
|
NL
|
0.57
|
|
Mike Napoli
|
BOS
|
AL
|
0.57
|
|
Adam LaRoche
|
WSN
|
NL
|
0.57
|
|
Marlon Byrd
|
PHI
|
NL
|
0.57
|
|
Carlos Santana
|
CLE
|
AL
|
0.56
|
|
Brian Dozier
|
MIN
|
AL
|
0.56
|
|
Ian Kinsler
|
DET
|
AL
|
0.56
|
|
Nick Markakis
|
BAL
|
AL
|
0.56
|
|
Ben Zobrist
|
TBR
|
AL
|
0.56
|
|
Manny Machado
|
BAL
|
AL
|
0.56
|
|
Jhonny Peralta
|
STL
|
NL
|
0.56
|
|
Matt Adams
|
STL
|
NL
|
0.56
|
|
Conor Gillaspie
|
CHW
|
AL
|
0.56
|
|
Matt Carpenter
|
STL
|
NL
|
0.55
|
|
Yan Gomes
|
CLE
|
AL
|
0.55
|
|
Lonnie Chisenhall
|
CLE
|
AL
|
0.55
|
|
Angel Pagan
|
SFG
|
NL
|
0.55
|
|
Hanley Ramirez
|
LAD
|
NL
|
0.55
|
|
Pablo Sandoval
|
SFG
|
NL
|
0.55
|
|
Lucas Duda
|
NYM
|
NL
|
0.55
|
|
Brandon Moss
|
OAK
|
AL
|
0.55
|
|
Jason Heyward
|
ATL
|
NL
|
0.55
|
|
Mike Morse
|
SFG
|
NL
|
0.54
|
|
Starling Marte
|
PIT
|
NL
|
0.54
|
|
Torii Hunter
|
DET
|
AL
|
0.54
|
|
Brock Holt
|
BOS
|
AL
|
0.54
|
|
Josh Hamilton
|
LAA
|
AL
|
0.53
|
|
Chris Carter
|
HOU
|
AL
|
0.53
|
|
Trevor Plouffe
|
MIN
|
AL
|
0.53
|
|
Dustin Pedroia
|
BOS
|
AL
|
0.53
|
For purposes of this analysis I used a cut-off of 53 games
played & 196 plate appearances.
These figures represent how many runs each player generates
on his own per game played. One item of
note is Yoenis Cespedes has generated almost exactly the same runs created
during his time with Oakland & Boston hence I show his “total season”
figure above.
Here are how many each team has out of the 97 players listed
above:
|
BAL
|
5
|
|
BOS
|
5
|
|
COL
|
5
|
|
DET
|
5
|
|
PIT
|
5
|
|
SF
|
5
|
|
WAS
|
5
|
|
ATL
|
4
|
|
CLE
|
4
|
|
HOU
|
4
|
|
LAA
|
4
|
|
LAD
|
4
|
|
MIL
|
4
|
|
STL
|
4
|
|
TOR
|
4
|
|
ARI
|
3
|
|
CIN
|
3
|
|
CWS
|
3
|
|
MIN
|
3
|
|
CHC
|
2
|
|
MIA
|
2
|
|
NYM
|
2
|
|
NYY
|
2
|
|
OAK
|
2
|
|
PHI
|
2
|
|
SEA
|
2
|
|
KC
|
1
|
|
SD
|
1
|
|
TB
|
1
|
|
TEX
|
1
|
This information can be very useful come October baseball as
a team like Kansas City for example only has 1 player on their team who ranks
in the Top 97 of runs generated – not good especially considering they do not
have a lights out pitching staff, have little to no playoff experience, and are
likely to be facing a very strong team in the AL. You can also discount the Colorado Rockies
tying for the top spot with 5 players since not only is Tulowitzki out for the
season but a stadium factor adjustment should be included in their figures; on
the flip side the SF Giants also are tied for the lead at 5 players generating
runs inside the Top 97 of MLB & they play half their games in a tough park
for offensive baseball – considering their recent playoff success &
seemingly better balance this season vs. their two championship clubs they
could be a team to keep an eye on come October.
Lastly let’s take a look at the runs each lineup generates
when their usual healthy players are available:
|
4.855
|
WAS
|
4.463
|
|
|
BAL
|
4.448
|
MIA
|
4.047
|
|
BOS
|
4.179
|
ATL
|
4.042
|
|
NYY
|
4.053
|
PHI
|
3.803
|
|
TB
|
3.765
|
NYM
|
3.427
|
|
DET
|
5.095
|
PIT
|
4.286
|
|
MIN
|
4.501
|
MIL
|
4.255
|
|
CWS
|
4.072
|
CHC
|
3.814
|
|
CLE
|
3.889
|
STL
|
3.727
|
|
KC
|
3.885
|
CIN
|
3.529
|
|
LAA
|
4.711
|
COL
|
4.459
|
|
OAK
|
4.067
|
SF
|
4.351
|
|
HOU
|
3.976
|
LAD
|
4.077
|
|
SEA
|
3.931
|
ARI
|
3.039
|
|
TEX
|
3.624
|
SD
|
2.760
|
I list these numbers in order by division because it’s
important to remember the AL teams have 1 extra man generating offense (DH)
while the NL figures are based on 8 men lineups.
I will be back next week with an update to my MLB
Pythagorean Theory projected standings.
Thanks for reading, if you have any questions please feel
free to reach out.
Email me directly: boss@thesportsboss.com
Visit my website: www.thesportsboss.com
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