Here is what the standings & playoff seeding would look
like for each division, starting first with the American League:
P WINS
|
P LOSSES
|
+ / -
|
||
BAL
|
92
|
70
|
4
|
|
TBR
|
87
|
75
|
(10)
|
|
TOR
|
85
|
77
|
(2)
|
|
NYY
|
78
|
84
|
6
|
|
BOS
|
71
|
91
|
(0)
|
|
DET
|
90
|
72
|
0
|
|
CLE
|
84
|
78
|
1
|
|
KCR
|
83
|
79
|
6
|
|
CHW
|
75
|
87
|
(2)
|
|
MIN
|
71
|
91
|
(1)
|
|
LAA
|
100
|
62
|
(2)
|
|
OAK
|
96
|
66
|
(8)
|
|
SEA
|
88
|
74
|
(1)
|
|
HOU
|
75
|
87
|
(5)
|
|
TEX
|
65
|
97
|
2
|
PLAYOFF PROJECTIONS
|
|||
#1 SEED
|
LAA
|
||
#2 SEED
|
BAL
|
||
#3 SEED
|
DET
|
||
WC #1
|
OAK
|
||
WC #2
|
SEA
|
||
These projections were right on target with the top 3 seeds
identical to the final regular season standings, while one of the two Wild Card
teams were correct – missing Seattle.
The Royals were able to land a Wild Card spot winning 6 games more than
their runs difference would suggest – keep an eye on that come the opener vs.
Oakland & if they were to advance to face the Angels.
Next up here is the National League:
P WINS
|
P LOSSES
|
+ / -
|
||
WSN
|
97
|
65
|
(1)
|
|
ATL
|
78
|
84
|
1
|
|
MIA
|
77
|
85
|
(0)
|
|
NYM
|
76
|
86
|
3
|
|
PHI
|
73
|
89
|
(0)
|
|
PIT
|
94
|
68
|
(6)
|
|
STL
|
86
|
76
|
4
|
|
MIL
|
83
|
79
|
(1)
|
|
CHC
|
79
|
83
|
(6)
|
|
CIN
|
75
|
87
|
1
|
|
LAD
|
97
|
65
|
(3)
|
|
SFG
|
89
|
73
|
(1)
|
|
COL
|
80
|
82
|
(14)
|
|
SDP
|
73
|
89
|
4
|
|
ARI
|
69
|
93
|
(5)
|
CURRENT PLAYOFF PROJECTIONS
|
|||
#1 SEED
|
WSN
|
||
#2 SEED
|
LAD
|
||
#3 SEED
|
PIT
|
||
WC #1
|
SF
|
||
WC #2
|
STL
|
||
My Pythagorean Theorem for the NL was right on the target as
far as the five teams that made the playoffs, and which teams earned the top 2
seeds. The Cardinals won four more games
than the model suggested which tied the Padres for most in the NL – that is a
bearish sentiment towards their chances against the Dodgers who were 11 games
better during the regular season according to my model.
Next up let's examine the Top 99 players in my Runs Created model:
Rank
|
Player
|
Team
|
League
|
RC/GM
|
1
|
Victor Martinez
|
DET
|
AL
|
0.866
|
2
|
Jose Abreu
|
CHW
|
AL
|
0.858
|
3
|
Andrew McCutchen
|
PIT
|
NL
|
0.843
|
4
|
Mike Trout
|
LAA
|
AL
|
0.824
|
5
|
Giancarlo Stanton
|
MIA
|
NL
|
0.817
|
6
|
Paul Goldschmidt
|
ARI
|
NL
|
0.804
|
7
|
Michael Brantley
|
CLE
|
AL
|
0.768
|
8
|
Anthony Rizzo
|
CHC
|
NL
|
0.767
|
9
|
Jose Bautista
|
TOR
|
AL
|
0.761
|
10
|
Miguel Cabrera
|
DET
|
AL
|
0.758
|
11
|
Edwin Encarnacion
|
TOR
|
AL
|
0.724
|
12
|
J.D. Martinez
|
DET
|
AL
|
0.720
|
13
|
Jose Altuve
|
HOU
|
AL
|
0.718
|
14
|
Adrian Beltre
|
TEX
|
AL
|
0.713
|
15
|
Yasiel Puig
|
LAD
|
NL
|
0.694
|
16
|
Corey Dickerson
|
COL
|
NL
|
0.692
|
17
|
Steve Pearce
|
BAL
|
AL
|
0.690
|
18
|
Justin Morneau
|
COL
|
NL
|
0.681
|
19
|
Nelson Cruz
|
BAL
|
AL
|
0.680
|
20
|
David Ortiz
|
BOS
|
AL
|
0.678
|
21
|
Buster Posey
|
SFG
|
NL
|
0.672
|
22
|
Anthony Rendon
|
WSN
|
NL
|
0.670
|
23
|
Freddie Freeman
|
ATL
|
NL
|
0.669
|
24
|
Danny Santana
|
MIN
|
AL
|
0.669
|
25
|
Jonathan Lucroy
|
MIL
|
NL
|
0.664
|
26
|
Carlos Gomez
|
MIL
|
NL
|
0.662
|
27
|
Melky Cabrera
|
TOR
|
AL
|
0.661
|
28
|
Robinson Cano
|
SEA
|
AL
|
0.660
|
29
|
Jayson Werth
|
WSN
|
NL
|
0.655
|
30
|
Devin Mesoraco
|
CIN
|
NL
|
0.650
|
31
|
Nolan Arenado
|
COL
|
NL
|
0.646
|
32
|
Matt Kemp
|
LAD
|
NL
|
0.638
|
33
|
Justin Upton
|
ATL
|
NL
|
0.626
|
34
|
Josh Harrison
|
PIT
|
NL
|
0.621
|
35
|
Denard Span
|
WSN
|
NL
|
0.616
|
36
|
Adrian Gonzalez
|
LAD
|
NL
|
0.610
|
37
|
Albert Pujols
|
LAA
|
AL
|
0.609
|
38
|
Josh Donaldson
|
OAK
|
AL
|
0.604
|
39
|
Matt Holliday
|
STL
|
NL
|
0.602
|
40
|
Neil Walker
|
PIT
|
NL
|
0.599
|
41
|
Adam Jones
|
BAL
|
AL
|
0.597
|
42
|
Russell Martin
|
PIT
|
NL
|
0.596
|
43
|
Hunter Pence
|
SFG
|
NL
|
0.595
|
44
|
Starling Marte
|
PIT
|
NL
|
0.591
|
45
|
Todd Frazier
|
CIN
|
NL
|
0.591
|
46
|
Christian Yelich
|
MIA
|
NL
|
0.590
|
47
|
Adam LaRoche
|
WSN
|
NL
|
0.589
|
48
|
Starlin Castro
|
CHC
|
NL
|
0.587
|
49
|
Hanley Ramirez
|
LAD
|
NL
|
0.581
|
50
|
Ryan Braun
|
MIL
|
NL
|
0.579
|
51
|
Adam Eaton
|
CHW
|
AL
|
0.576
|
52
|
Charlie Blackmon
|
COL
|
NL
|
0.572
|
53
|
Kole Calhoun
|
LAA
|
AL
|
0.571
|
54
|
Lucas Duda
|
NYM
|
NL
|
0.567
|
55
|
Kyle Seager
|
SEA
|
AL
|
0.565
|
56
|
Daniel Murphy
|
NYM
|
NL
|
0.561
|
57
|
Dexter Fowler
|
HOU
|
AL
|
0.560
|
58
|
Jose Reyes
|
TOR
|
AL
|
0.560
|
59
|
Juan Uribe
|
LAD
|
NL
|
0.558
|
60
|
Carlos Santana
|
CLE
|
AL
|
0.557
|
61
|
Brian Dozier
|
MIN
|
AL
|
0.557
|
62
|
Torii Hunter
|
DET
|
AL
|
0.557
|
63
|
Matt Adams
|
STL
|
NL
|
0.553
|
64
|
Ian Kinsler
|
DET
|
AL
|
0.551
|
65
|
Ben Zobrist
|
TBR
|
AL
|
0.551
|
66
|
Alex Gordon
|
KCR
|
AL
|
0.551
|
67
|
Nick Markakis
|
BAL
|
AL
|
0.549
|
68
|
Mike Napoli
|
BOS
|
AL
|
0.544
|
69
|
Howie Kendrick
|
LAA
|
AL
|
0.543
|
70
|
Yoenis Cespedes
|
BOS
|
AL
|
0.540
|
71
|
Mike Morse
|
SFG
|
NL
|
0.538
|
72
|
Marcell Ozuna
|
MIA
|
NL
|
0.537
|
73
|
Yan Gomes
|
CLE
|
AL
|
0.537
|
74
|
Brock Holt
|
BOS
|
AL
|
0.537
|
75
|
Jacoby Ellsbury
|
NYY
|
AL
|
0.537
|
76
|
Evan Gattis
|
ATL
|
NL
|
0.536
|
77
|
Marlon Byrd
|
PHI
|
NL
|
0.536
|
78
|
Matt Carpenter
|
STL
|
NL
|
0.536
|
79
|
Trevor Plouffe
|
MIN
|
AL
|
0.535
|
80
|
Jhonny Peralta
|
STL
|
NL
|
0.534
|
81
|
Chris Carter
|
HOU
|
AL
|
0.532
|
82
|
Chase Utley
|
PHI
|
NL
|
0.532
|
83
|
Seth Smith
|
SDP
|
NL
|
0.531
|
84
|
Justin Turner
|
LAD
|
NL
|
0.529
|
85
|
Aramis Ramirez
|
MIL
|
NL
|
0.526
|
86
|
Brett Gardner
|
NYY
|
AL
|
0.523
|
87
|
Dustin Pedroia
|
BOS
|
AL
|
0.521
|
88
|
Ian Desmond
|
WSN
|
NL
|
0.521
|
89
|
Jason Heyward
|
ATL
|
NL
|
0.521
|
90
|
Bryce Harper
|
WSN
|
NL
|
0.514
|
91
|
Joe Mauer
|
MIN
|
AL
|
0.510
|
92
|
Pablo Sandoval
|
SFG
|
NL
|
0.510
|
93
|
Dee Gordon
|
LAD
|
NL
|
0.509
|
94
|
Adam Dunn
|
CHW
|
AL
|
0.509
|
95
|
Evan Longoria
|
TBR
|
AL
|
0.505
|
96
|
Conor Gillaspie
|
CHW
|
AL
|
0.502
|
97
|
Brandon Moss
|
OAK
|
AL
|
0.501
|
98
|
Martin Prado
|
NYY
|
AL
|
0.500
|
99
|
James Loney
|
TBR
|
AL
|
0.499
|
For purposes of this analysis I used a cut-off of 100 games
played.
Here are how many each team has out of the 99 players listed
above:
BOS
|
5
|
NYM
|
2
|
NYY
|
3
|
PHI
|
2
|
TOR
|
4
|
MIA
|
3
|
TB
|
3
|
ATL
|
4
|
BAL
|
4
|
WSN
|
6
|
CLE
|
3
|
CIN
|
2
|
KC
|
1
|
STL
|
4
|
CHW
|
4
|
CHC
|
2
|
DET
|
5
|
PIT
|
5
|
MIN
|
4
|
MIL
|
4
|
OAK
|
2
|
SD
|
1
|
LAA
|
4
|
SF
|
4
|
SEA
|
2
|
LAD
|
7
|
TEX
|
1
|
COL
|
4
|
HOU
|
3
|
ARZ
|
1
|
Thanks for reading our FINAL MLB 2014 installment.
Email me directly: boss@thesportsboss.com
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