NBA 2015-2016: SportsBoss Power Index [SBPI] thru January 20th

Here is second initial installment of the NBA SBPI [SportsBoss Power Index] for the 2015-2016 season.  As a reminder this model first uses the Four Factors analysis as a basis to measure team effectiveness & efficiency in key statistical areas followed by filtering that data into a regression formula that properly weights the impact of each statistic before being finalized by an SOS adjustment.  Here is where each team stands through Wednesday January 20^th:

	HOME	ROAD		Projected Record		Playoff Seeds
Team	RATING	RATING		Wins	Losses	West	East
San Antonio	107.6	103.1		73	9	1
Golden State	105.2	100.7		72	10	2
Okla City	100.5	96.5		59	23	3
L.A. Clippers	98.7	95.7		55	27	4
Cleveland	99.0	95.0		57	25		1
Boston	97.0	94.5		47	35		5
Detroit	97.0	94.0		48	34		4
Atlanta	96.1	93.1		49	33		3
Toronto	96.0	93.0		51	31		2
Indiana	95.9	92.9		47	35		6
Orlando	93.3	90.8		42	40		8
Memphis	93.7	90.7		44	38	5
Charlotte	93.6	90.6		40	42
Washington	92.5	90.5		41	41
Miami	93.2	90.2		43	39		7
Dallas	93.0	90.0		44	38
Utah	92.1	89.6		37	45	7
Sacramento	90.2	88.2		36	46	8
Houston	90.5	88.0		38	44	6
Portland	90.4	87.9		35	47
Chicago	90.5	87.5		41	41
Milwaukee	90.1	87.1		34	48
New York	90.0	87.0		37	45
New Orleans	88.7	86.2		29	53
Denver	88.0	86.0		31	51
Minnesota	87.6	85.6		26	56
Phoenix	87.1	85.1		26	56
Brooklyn	85.6	83.6		22	60
Philadelphia	82.6	80.6		13	69
L.A. Lakers	82.0	80.0		15	67

These are the actual power ratings I would use when setting lines on a daily basis. 

The San Antonio Spurs maintain the top spot in the ratings but the East continues to strengthen it’s depth as seen by the playoff seedings & each team’s corresponding rating.

The “Projected Record” column is calculated by:

1.     Taking a teams current record

2.     Adding wins over remainder of the season based on their regression analysis of strength

For example, walking through the San Antonio Spurs calculation:

                  They are currently 36-6 & are projected to play .934 ball for the remainder of the season.  Taking that .934 times their 40 remaining games yields 37.4 more wins; add the 36 & 37.4 and you get 73.4 wins, which is shown in the projected wins column.

Now remember there are obviously additional variables that could be in play when projecting a team’s final record such as sitting players, home/road splits – but this formula is at worst a good proxy for projecting playoff seeds.

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