Thursday, May 22, 2014

World Cup 2014 Preview: Part IV of IV

Here is the final piece of our initial World Cup preview - this portion shows what the knockout stage would look like if the results I project above occurred, and who I predict will advance through.

Remember, check back next week for additional World Cup articles!



BRAZIL




CHILE
BRAZIL








GREECE

BRAZIL


ITALY
ITALY






BRAZIL

FRANCE




NIGERIA
NIGERIA








GERMANY

GERMANY


RUSSIA
GERMANY








SPAIN



BRAZIL
CROATIA
SPAIN








URUGUAY

SPAIN


COLOMBIA
COLOMBIA








ARGENTINA


ARGENTINA

SWITZERLAND
ARGENTINA








BELGIUM

ARGENTINA


USA
USA




Not only did I lay out what the bracket would look like based on my projections for the group stage I also went ahead and predicted the outcome of each game in the knockout stage leading to the champion being Brazil.  Nothing bold there certainly, but I really feel like this is the year Brazil breaks through and wins its first title since 2002.  Here is the breakdown by region for my 2014 projections using the matrix I introduced in the beginning of this article:

2014
16
QF
SF
FINAL
WINNER
CONCACAF
1
1



CONMEBOL
5
3
2
2
1
UEFA
9
3
2


AFC





CAF
1
1



OFC






As you can see & compare to above it’s very similar to the breakdowns we have seen in the past – which is an important exercise to visually see making it “more likely” your projections have a chance at coming true.  Sure many of the UEFA teams feel like favorites & they will be tough outs – but we will likely see about half the Round of 16 made of UEFA teams – the rest coming from other regions.  Weather could play a big part in this year’s Cup because it’s likely to be very hot & humid – something the European teams aren’t familiar with playing in often.  That is likely to be an edge to CAF & CONMEBOL squads – meaning we could see a surprise or two from those two regions advancing deep into the knockout stage.

That will conclude our first breakdown of the 2014 World Cup.  Coming up in the future will be more in depth looks at each group including breaking down which odds look attractive as far as group winners, advancing to knockout stage, championship odds and perhaps a few props.

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