Thursday, December 13, 2012

NFL: Projected Standings & Playoff Seed Tracking thru Week 14

I have been forced to break up my NFL weekly article into numerous parts because of the inability of blogger to process all my charts and matrices in one post.  I just posted my "standard" NFL article, now here is Part II which will show my current projected NFL Standings, along with both the AFC & NFC playoff projections by week.

AFC East
Wins
Loss
NFC East
Wins
Loss
NE
12.12
3.88
NYG
9.69
6.31
NYJ
7.39
8.61
WAS
8.67
7.33
BUF
6.60
9.40
DAL
8.29
7.71
MIA
6.43
9.57
PHI
5.26
10.74
AFC North
NFC North
BAL
10.32
5.68
GB
11.08
4.93
PIT
9.16
6.84
CHI
9.50
6.50
CIN
8.27
7.73
MIN
7.81
8.19
CLE
5.80
10.20
DET
5.99
10.01
AFC South
NFC South
HOU
13.51
2.49
ATL
12.68
3.32
IND
9.84
6.16
TB
7.33
8.67
TEN
5.28
10.72
NO
6.05
9.95
JAC
2.80
13.20
CAR
5.68
10.33
AFC West
NFC West
DEN
12.42
3.58
SF
11.40
4.60
SD
6.64
9.36
SEA
9.72
6.28
OAK
4.14
11.86
STL
7.88
8.12
KC
3.15
12.85
ARI
5.11
10.89
Playoffs
Playoffs
#6 PIT @ #3 NE
#6 CHI @ #3 GB
#5 IND @ #4 BAL
#5 SEA @ #4 NYG
#1 HOU
#1 ATL
#2 DEN
#2 SF


AFC Playoffs Picture:
AFTER
Pre
Wk1
Wk2
Wk3
Wk4
Wk5
Wk6
Wk7
Wk8
Wk9
Wk10
Wk11
Wk12
Wk13
Wk14
BAL
5
4
6
2
2
3
2
3
5
5
5
4
3
3
3
BUF
CIN




6










CLE
DEN

3
5
5
5
5
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
HOU
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
IND









6
6
6
6
6
5
JAC
KC















MIA
5
6
6
NE
2
2
4
6
4
2
4
4
3
4
4
3
4
4
4
NYJ
6
5
4
OAK















PIT
3
6
3
6
6
5
4
3
3
5
5
5
6
SD
4

2
3
3
4









TEN

In each of the last 6 editions I have projected the same six teams to reach the playoffs from the AFC.  Also, I have had the #1 HOU & #2 DEN seeds the same for each of the last 8 editions.  It will be very interesting to see how the #2 seed in the AFC playoffs settles as DEN, NE & BAL all have a chance.  Likewise, the wild cards are not quite settled yet although IND seems a good shot at earning one of the two.  Keep an eye on CIN@PIT next week, which may wind up settling the final wild card in the AFC.
NFC Playoffs Picture:
AFTER
Pre
Wk1
Wk2
Wk3
Wk4
Wk5
Wk6
Wk7
Wk8
Wk9
Wk10
Wk11
Wk12
Wk13
Wk14
ARI



5
5
6









ATL
4
4
1
1
2
2
3
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
CAR















CHI
6
3
3
2
3
3
3
5
5
5
6
DAL
6
6
5
6











DET
5
3
6
GB
2
5
3
4
4

5
5
5
5
5
3
3
3
3
MIN
5
NO
4














NYG
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
PHI
3
2
2
3
3
4

6







SEA
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
5
SF
1
1
1
2
2
1
1
1
1
2
2
2
2
2
2
STL
TB















WAS

The NFC playoff projections have had the same six teams in each of the last 7 weeks, and 7 of the last 8 with only PHI as the projected #6 seed following Wk7 action.  Even more so than the AFC the NFC projections have been static with minimal seed changes.

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