Sunday, July 27, 2014

NFL 2014: All Teams Performance Last 3, 4 & 5 Years



I receive a ton of requests & feedback during the season (and offseason for that matter) from many who utilize my published performance ratings in their own handicapping process - whether it be on sides or totals.  With that in mind & to show my appreciation for finally breaking through that 1K unique readers ceiling with my last NFL article & to fulfill a request recently received from a loyal reader today we analyze the average performance grade of each team on offense, defense & overall along with my SOS breakdowns over the last three, four & five years.  Using this data can illustrate which teams have performed best in our model over recent seasons while giving you a barometer for comparative purposes once the 2014 season commences & its results are posted here.

Quick reminder of what each figures below represents:

OFF / DEF: ranges from 0 to 80 as 16 statistics are graded from 0 to 5 (16 x 5 = 80 which would be “perfect grade”

TOTAL: sum of OFF & DEF grades

SOS STATS: strength of team’s schedule based on opponent’s performance in my grading scheme

SOS RECORD: strength of a team’s schedule based on opponent’s record

SOS BLENDED: combination of my two measurements of SOS



AVERAGE LAST 3 SEASONS

RATINGS

SOS
TM
OFF
RANK
DEF
RANK
TOTAL
RANK

STATS
RECORD
BLENDED
RANK
ARI
32.52
31
42.67
9
75.19
24

7
13
8.4
5
ATL
44.47
8
35.50
26
79.97
18

18
21
18.4
20
BAL
37.41
23
44.77
5
82.18
14

16
22
17.3
17
BUF
40.45
17
37.13
18
77.57
20

21
11
18.3
19
CAR
46.46
5
38.51
14
84.97
9

24
15
21.5
26
CHI
41.68
16
39.32
12
81.00
15

12
16
13.1
9
CIN
40.16
18
44.63
6
84.78
10

25
24
24.5
30
CLE
32.65
30
38.06
15
70.71
30

12
9
11.0
6
DAL
43.98
10
36.70
22
80.68
16

13
24
15.9
14
DEN
47.88
4
43.34
8
91.22
1

26
21
25.1
31
DET
44.31
9
40.05
11
84.36
11

17
12
15.8
12
GB
48.95
3
36.40
24
85.34
8

23
23
22.8
27
HOU
42.85
13
45.09
4
87.95
3

25
18
23.4
28
IND
37.31
24
33.85
31
71.17
29

18
19
18.1
18
JAC
29.27
32
35.66
25
64.93
32

12
11
11.7
7
KC
37.24
25
38.82
13
76.06
22

20
20
20.0
23
MIA
34.97
27
40.67
10
75.64
23

12
14
12.7
8
MIN
39.79
19
34.18
30
73.97
26

7
6
7.1
3
NE
50.79
1
35.17
29
85.96
7

19
23
20.1
24
NO
50.44
2
36.49
23
86.93
6

20
18
19.7
22
NYG
39.72
20
36.77
21
76.49
21

3
10
4.8
2
NYJ
34.69
28
44.61
7
79.30
19

16
16
15.9
13
OAK
38.73
21
35.46
28
74.19
25

17
17
17.0
15
PHI
45.31
7
37.78
16
83.09
12

20
21
20.6
25
PIT
41.82
15
45.75
2
87.57
5

29
24
28.0
32
SD
45.33
6
36.98
19
82.31
13

25
20
23.4
28
SEA
42.47
14
45.36
3
87.83
4

16
16
15.7
10
SF
43.50
11
46.92
1
90.42
2

18
20
18.8
21
STL
34.22
29
37.55
17
71.77
28

3
2
3.1
1
TB
35.78
26
33.59
32
69.38
31

7
8
7.3
4
TEN
37.53
22
35.49
27
73.02
27

16
16
15.8
11
WAS
43.34
12
36.98
19
80.32
17

16
20
17.0
15

LAST THREE SEASONS

TOP 5 OFFENSES

WORST 5 OFFENSES
NE
50.79

JAC
29.27
NO
50.44

ARI
32.52
GB
48.95

CLE
32.65
DEN
47.88

STL
34.22
CAR
46.46

NYJ
34.69





TOP 5 DEFENSES

WORST 5 DEFENSES
SF
46.92

TB
33.59
PIT
45.75

IND
33.85
SEA
45.36

MIN
34.18
HOU
45.09

NE
35.17
BAL
44.77

OAK
35.46





TOP 5 OVERALL

WORST 5 OVERALL
DEN
91.22

JAC
64.93
SF
90.42

TB
69.38
HOU
87.95

CLE
70.71
SEA
87.83

IND
71.17
PIT
87.57

STL
71.77





TOP 5 SOS

WEAKEST 5 SOS
STL
3.1

PIT
28.0
NYG
4.8

DEN
25.1
MIN
7.1

CIN
24.5
TB
7.3

HOU
23.4
ARI
8.4

SD
23.4


AVERAGE LAST 4 SEASONS

RATINGS

SOS
TM
OFF
RANK
DEF
RANK
TOTAL
RANK

STATS
RECORD
BLENDED
RANK
ARI
31.09
32
41.09
9
72.18
28

12
15
12.5
5
ATL
44.53
8
36.06
25
80.59
18

17
20
17.4
16
BAL
38.40
24
45.02
2
83.41
10

16
24
17.8
18
BUF
39.23
21
36.42
24
75.65
23

16
9
14.4
12
CAR
41.40
13
38.90
16
80.30
19

21
12
18.5
21
CHI
40.20
16
40.61
11
80.80
16

15
17
15.4
13
CIN
39.76
18
42.95
6
82.70
11

19
19
19.1
25
CLE
33.60
30
38.43
20
72.03
29

11
8
9.8
2
DAL
44.78
7
36.84
22
81.62
14

14
21
15.9
14
DEN
45.45
6
41.08
10
86.52
4

23
19
21.6
28
DET
43.02
10
38.96
15
81.98
13

14
11
13.1
9
GB
47.71
3
38.88
17
86.59
3

21
20
20.7
27
HOU
43.50
9
41.86
8
85.36
7

20
15
18.8
24
IND
40.07
17
34.33
31
74.40
26

16
21
16.9
15
JAC
32.82
31
35.26
29
68.08
32

14
16
14.4
11
KC
39.43
20
39.87
13
79.30
20

23
23
22.8
30
MIA
35.66
28
42.07
7
77.73
21

13
13
12.7
6
MIN
38.57
23
36.04
26
74.61
25

8
6
7.2
1
NE
50.36
1
34.88
30
85.23
8

17
21
17.9
19
NO
49.14
2
38.16
21
87.30
2

23
20
21.8
29
NYG
41.55
12
39.13
14
80.68
17

9
14
9.9
4
NYJ
36.41
27
44.88
3
81.29
15

18
17
17.4
16
OAK
38.60
22
36.78
23
75.38
24

19
19
18.7
22
PHI
46.39
4
38.70
19
85.09
9

20
20
19.9
26
PIT
42.21
11
46.65
1
88.86
1

28
23
26.3
32
SD
45.90
5
40.21
12
86.11
5

26
22
24.6
31
SEA
39.51
19
43.18
5
82.69
12

19
16
17.9
19
SF
40.76
14
44.64
4
85.40
6

19
20
18.8
23
STL
34.43
29
38.77
18
73.20
27

10
10
9.9
3
TB
37.51
25
34.27
32
71.77
31

13
13
13.1
8
TEN
36.42
26
35.52
28
71.94
30

12
16
12.9
7
WAS
40.55
15
35.96
27
76.51
22

14
17
14.3
10

LAST FOUR SEASONS

TOP 5 OFFENSES

WORST 5 OFFENSES
NE
50.36

ARI
31.09
NO
49.14

JAC
32.82
GB
47.71

CLE
33.60
PHI
46.39

STL
34.43
SD
45.90

MIA
35.66





TOP 5 DEFENSES

WORST 5 DEFENSES
PIT
46.65

TB
34.27
BAL
45.02

IND
34.33
NYJ
44.88

NE
34.88
SF
44.64

JAC
35.26
SEA
43.18

TEN
35.52





TOP 5 OVERALL

WORST 5 OVERALL
PIT
88.86

JAC
68.08
NO
87.30

TB
71.77
GB
86.59

TEN
71.94
DEN
86.52

CLE
72.03
SD
86.11

ARI
72.18





TOP 5 SOS

WEAKEST 5 SOS
MIN
7.2

PIT
26.3
CLE
9.8

SD
24.6
STL
9.9

KC
22.8
NYG
9.9

NO
21.8
ARI
12.5

DEN
21.6


AVERAGE LAST 5 SEASONS

RATINGS

SOS
TM
OFF
RANK
DEF
RANK
TOTAL
RANK

STATS
RECORD
BLENDED
RANK
ARI
33.26
31
41.76
7
75.01
25

16
13
15.0
11
ATL
44.11
8
36.44
27
80.55
15

15
19
16.1
15
BAL
39.43
18
45.13
3
84.55
9

17
24
18.4
21
BUF
37.21
24
37.20
25
74.41
26

14
11
13.5
9
CAR
41.18
12
39.19
15
80.36
17

17
15
16.6
16
CHI
38.85
20
39.94
12
78.79
18

14
16
14.8
10
CIN
39.84
15
43.53
5
83.38
12

19
18
18.8
23
CLE
32.41
32
37.89
20
70.31
30

12
10
11.3
4
DAL
45.64
5
38.43
19
84.07
10

14
19
15.3
12
DEN
44.35
7
41.63
9
85.98
5

21
21
20.9
27
DET
39.84
15
37.62
22
77.46
21

13
13
12.7
8
GB
48.07
3
40.84
11
88.91
2

23
17
21.4
28
HOU
44.06
9
41.50
10
85.56
6

20
18
19.7
25
IND
40.98
13
35.19
30
76.16
24

16
18
16.6
17
JAC
34.62
29
34.99
31
69.61
32

16
15
15.9
14
KC
37.67
22
38.55
17
76.22
23

22
23
22.2
30
MIA
36.82
25
41.76
7
78.58
19

11
17
12.4
6
MIN
40.53
14
37.72
21
78.25
20

12
6
10.5
2
NE
50.29
1
36.37
28
86.66
4

15
21
16.9
19
NO
49.93
2
38.46
18
88.39
3

24
16
22.0
29
NYG
42.09
11
39.06
16
81.16
14

7
17
9.9
1
NYJ
36.58
26
46.02
2
82.60
13

16
18
16.7
18
OAK
36.14
27
36.87
26
73.01
28

17
20
17.5
20
PHI
45.54
6
39.51
14
85.05
8

22
17
20.5
26
PIT
42.50
10
46.63
1
89.13
1

27
21
25.8
32
SD
45.74
4
39.68
13
85.42
7

25
19
23.7
31
SEA
38.31
21
42.08
6
80.38
16

20
14
18.5
22
SF
39.19
19
44.69
4
83.89
11

20
17
19.1
24
STL
33.38
30
37.31
24
70.68
29

11
12
11.2
3
TB
35.98
28
34.16
32
70.14
31

11
16
12.2
5
TEN
37.65
23
35.88
29
73.53
27

11
18
12.6
7
WAS
39.44
17
37.38
23
76.81
22

15
16
15.4
13

LAST FIVE SEASONS

TOP 5 OFFENSES

WORST 5 OFFENSES
NE
50.29

CLE
32.41
NO
49.93

ARI
33.26
GB
48.07

STL
33.38
SD
45.74

JAC
34.62
DAL
45.64

TB
35.98





TOP 5 DEFENSES

WORST 5 DEFENSES
PIT
46.63

TB
34.16
NYJ
46.02

JAC
34.99
BAL
45.13

IND
35.19
SF
44.69

TEN
35.88
CIN
43.53

NE
36.37





TOP 5 OVERALL

WORST 5 OVERALL
PIT
89.13

JAC
69.61
GB
88.91

TB
70.14
NO
88.39

CLE
70.31
NE
86.66

STL
70.66
DEN
85.98

OAK
73.01





TOP 5 SOS

WEAKEST 5 SOS
NYG
9.9

PIT
25.8
MIN
10.5

SD
23.7
STL
11.2

KC
22.2
CLE
11.3

NO
22.0
TB
12.2

GB
21.4

Thanks again for reading.  Check back this week for more statistical analysis – looking back at last year’s performances & what we can expect this coming season!

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